{"id":87233,"date":"2018-02-25T19:38:00","date_gmt":"2018-02-25T19:38:00","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2023-01-06T20:18:30","modified_gmt":"2023-01-06T20:18:30","slug":"cold-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/2018\/02\/25\/cold-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Cold War"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div><h1 style=\"background-color: #f9f9f9; color: #333333; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">Cold War<\/h1>\n<pre style=\"background-color: #f9f9f9; color: #333333; font-size: 12px; padding-left: 18px;\">                 Ministry of education, science and culture<br \/><br \/>                           High College of English<br \/><br \/><br \/><br \/>                              Graduation Paper<br \/><br \/>                                  on theme:<br \/><br \/>                          U.S. - Soviet relations.<br \/><br \/><br \/><br \/>                                       Student:      Pavlunina I.V.<br \/><br \/>                                       Supervisor: Kolpakov A. V.<br \/><br \/><br \/><br \/>                                Bishkek 2000<br \/>                                  Contents.<br \/><br \/>Introduction.                                                       3<br \/><br \/>Chapter 1: The Historical Background of Cold War.                   5<br \/><br \/>1.1 The Historical Context.                                         5<br \/><br \/>1.2 Causes and Interpretations.                                     10<br \/>Chapter 2: The Cold War Chronology.                                 17<br \/><br \/>2.1 The War Years.                                                  17<br \/><br \/>2.2 The Truman Doctrine.                                            25<br \/><br \/>2.3 The Marshall Plan.                                              34<br \/><br \/>Chapter 3: The Role of Cold War in American History and Diplomacy.  37<br \/><br \/>3.1 Declaration of the Cold War.                                    37<br \/><br \/>3.2 \u2014old War Issues.                                                40<br \/><br \/>Conclusion.                                                         49<br \/><br \/>Glossary.                                                           50<br \/><br \/>The reference list.<br \/>51<br \/><br \/>Introduction.<br \/><br \/>      This graduation paper is about U.S. - Soviet  relations  in  Cold  War<br \/>period. Our purpose is to find out the causes of this war, positions of  the<br \/>countries which took part in it. We also will discuss the  main  Cold  War's<br \/>events.<br \/><br \/>      The Cold War was  characterized  by  mutual  distrust,  suspicion  and<br \/>misunderstanding by both the United  States  and  Soviet  Union,  and  their<br \/>allies. At times, these conditions increased the  likelihood  of  the  third<br \/>world war.  The  United  States  accused  the  USSR  of  seeking  to  expand<br \/>Communism throughout the world. The Soviets, meanwhile, charged  the  United<br \/>States   with  practicing  imperialism   and   with   attempting   to   stop<br \/>revolutionary activity in other countries. Each block's vision of the  world<br \/>contributed to East-West tension.  The  United  States  wanted  a  world  of<br \/>independent nations  based  on  democratic  principles.  The  Soviet  Union,<br \/>however, tried control areas it considered vital to its  national  interest,<br \/>including much of Eastern Europe.<br \/><br \/>      Through the Cold War did not begin until the end of World War  II,  in<br \/>1945, U.S.-Soviet relations had been strained since 1917. In  that  year,  a<br \/>revolution in Russia established a Communist dictatorship there. During  the<br \/>1920's  and  1930's,  the  Soviets  called  for  world  revolution  and  the<br \/>destruction of capitalism, the economic system of United States. The  United<br \/>States did not grant diplomatic recognition to the Soviet Union until 1933.<br \/><br \/>      In 1941, during World War II, Germany attacked the Soviet  Union.  The<br \/>Soviet Union then joined the Western Allies in fighting Germany. For a  time<br \/>early in 1945, it seemed possible that a lasting  friendship  might  develop<br \/>between  the  United  States  and  Soviet  Union  based  on  their   wartime<br \/>cooperation. However, major differences continued to exist between the  two,<br \/>particularly  with  regard  to  Eastern  Europe.  As  a  result   of   these<br \/>differences, the United States adopted  a  \"get  tough\"  policy  toward  the<br \/>Soviet Union  after the war ended. The Soviets  responded  by  accusing  the<br \/>United States and the other capitalist allies of  the  West  of  seeking  to<br \/>encircle the Soviet Union so they could eventually overthrow  its  Communist<br \/>form of government.<br \/><br \/>      The subject of Cold War interests American historicans and journalists<br \/>as well as Russian ones. In particular,  famous  journalist  Henryh  Borovik<br \/>fraces this topic in his book. He analyzes the events of Cold War  from  the<br \/>point of view of  modern  Russian  man.  With  appearing  of  democracy  and<br \/>freedom  of  speech  we  could  free  ourselves  from  past  stereotype   in<br \/>perception of Cold War's events as well as  America  as  a  whole,  we  also<br \/>learnt something new about American people's real life  and  personality.  A<br \/>new developing stage of relations with the United States has begun with  the<br \/>collapse of the Soviet Union on independent states. And in order  to  direct<br \/>these relations in the right way it is necessary to  study  events  of  Cold<br \/>War very carefully and try to avoid past mistakes.  Therefore  this  subject<br \/>is so much popular in our days.<br \/><br \/>      This graduation paper consist of three  chapters.  The  first  chapter<br \/>maintain the historical documents which comment  the  origins  of  the  Cold<br \/>War.<br \/><br \/>      The second chapter maintain information about the  most  popular  Cold<br \/>War's events.<br \/><br \/>      The third chapter analyze the role of Cold War in World policy and<br \/>diplomacy. The chapter also adduce the Cold War issues.<br \/>Chapter 1: The Historical Background of Cold War.<br \/><br \/>    1.1 The Historical Context.<br \/>    The animosity of postwar  Soviet-American  relations  drew  on  a  deep<br \/>reservoir of mutual distrust. Soviet suspicion of  the  United  States  went<br \/>back to America's hostile reaction to the Bolshevik  revolution  itself.  At<br \/>the end of World War I, President Woodrow Wilson  had  sent  more  than  ten<br \/>thousand American soldiers as part  of  an  expeditionary  allied  force  to<br \/>overthrow the new Soviet regime by force.  When  that  venture  failed,  the<br \/>United  States  nevertheless  withheld  its  recognition   of   the   Soviet<br \/>government. Back in the  United  States,  meanwhile,  the  fear  of  Marxist<br \/>radicalism reached an hysterical  pitch  with  the  Red  Scare  of  1919-20.<br \/>Attorney General A. Mitchell Palmer  ordered  government  agents  to  arrest<br \/>3,000 purported members of  the  Communist  party,  and  then  attempted  to<br \/>deport them. American  attitudes  toward  the  seemed  encapsulated  in  the<br \/>comments of one minister who called for the removal of communists in  \"ships<br \/>of stone with sails of lead, with the wrath of God for  a  breeze  and  with<br \/>hell for their first port.\"<br \/>    American attitudes toward the Soviet Union, in turn, reflected profound<br \/>concern about Soviet violation of human rights, democratic  procedures,  and<br \/>international rules of civility.  With  brutal  force,  Soviet  leaders  had<br \/>imposed  from  above  a  revolution  of  agricultural  collectivization  and<br \/>industrialization. Millions had died as  a  consequence  of  forced  removal<br \/>from their lands. Anyone who protested was killed or  sent  to  one  of  the<br \/>hundreds  of  prison  camps  which,  in  Alexander   Solzhenitsyn's   words,<br \/>stretched across the Soviet Union like a giant  archipelago.  What  kind  of<br \/>people were these, one relative of a prisoner asked, \"who first decreed  and<br \/>then carried out this mass destruction  of  their  own  kind?\"  Furthermore,<br \/>Soviet foreign policy seemed committed to the spread of revolution to  other<br \/>countries, with international coordination of subversive  activities  placed<br \/>in the hands of  the  Comintern.  It  was  difficult  to  imagine  two  more<br \/>different societies.<br \/>    For  a  brief  period  after  the  United  States  granted   diplomatic<br \/>recognition to the Soviet  Union  in  1933,  a  new  spirit  of  cooperation<br \/>prevailed. But by the end of the 1930s suspicion  and  alienation  had  once<br \/>again become dominant. From a Soviet perspective, the United  States  seemed<br \/>unwilling to join collectively to oppose the Japanese and German menace.  On<br \/>two occasions, the United States had refused to act in concert against  Nazi<br \/>Germany. When Britain and France agreed at Munich to appease Adolph  Hitler,<br \/>the Soviets gave up on any possibility of allied action against Germany  and<br \/>talked of a capitalist effort to encircle and destroy the Soviet regime.<br \/>    Yet  from  a  Western  perspective,  there  seemed  little  basis   for<br \/>distinguishing between Soviet  tyranny  and  Nazi  totalitarianism.  Between<br \/>1936 and 1938 Stalin engaged in his own holocaust, sending up to  6  million<br \/>Soviet citizens to  their  deaths  in  massive  purge  trials.  Stalin  \"saw<br \/>enemies everywhere,\" his daughter  later  recalled,  and  with  a  vengeance<br \/>frightening in its irrationality, sought to destroy them. It  was  an  \"orgy<br \/>of terror,\" one historian said. Diplomats saw high officials tapped  on  the<br \/>shoulder in public places, removed  from  circulation,  and  then  executed.<br \/>Foreigners were subject to constant  surveillance.  It  was  as  if,  George<br \/>Kennan noted,  outsiders  were  representatives  of  \"the  devil,  evil  and<br \/>dangerous, and to be shunned.\"<br \/>    On the basis of such experience, many Westerners concluded that  Hitler<br \/>and Stalin were two of a kind, each  reflecting  a  blood-thirsty  obsession<br \/>with power no  matter  what  the  cost  to  human  decency.  \"Nations,  like<br \/>individuals,\" Kennan said in  1938,  \"are  largely  the  products  of  their<br \/>environment.\" As Kennan perceived it, the Soviet personality  was  neurotic,<br \/>conspiratorial, and untrustworthy. Such  impressions  were  only  reinforced<br \/>when Stalin suddenly announced a nonaggression treaty with Hitler in  August<br \/>1939, and later that year invaded the small, neutral state  of  Finland.  It<br \/>seemed that Stalin and Hitler deserved each other. Hence, the reluctance  of<br \/>some to change their attitudes toward the Soviet  Union  when  suddenly,  in<br \/>June 1941, Germany invaded Russia and Stalin became \"Uncle Joe.\"<br \/>    Compounding the problem of historical distrust was the different way in<br \/>which the two nations viewed foreign policy. Ever since  John  Winthrop  had<br \/>spoken of Boston in 1630 as \"a city upon a  hill\"  that  would  serve  as  a<br \/>beacon for the world, Americans had tended to see  themselves  as  a  chosen<br \/>people with a distinctive mission to impart their faith and  values  to  the<br \/>rest of humankind. Although all countries  attempt  to  put  the  best  face<br \/>possible on their military and diplomatic  actions,  Americans  have  seemed<br \/>more committed than most to describing their involvement  in  the  world  as<br \/>pure and altruistic. Hence, even ventures like the Mexican War of 1846 -  48<br \/>- clearly provoked by the United States in an effort  to  secure  huge  land<br \/>masses - were defended publicly as the fulfillment of a  divine  mission  to<br \/>extend American democracy to those deprived of it.<br \/>    Reliance on the rhetoric of moralism was never more present than during<br \/>America's involvement in World  War  I.  Despite  its  official  posture  of<br \/>neutrality, the United States had  a  vested  interest  in  the  victory  of<br \/>England and France over Germany. America's own military security, her  trade<br \/>lines with England and France, economic and  political  control  over  Latin<br \/>America and South America - all would best  be  preserved  if  Germany  were<br \/>defeated.  Moreover,  American  banks  and  munition  makers  had   invested<br \/>millions of  dollars  in  the  allied  cause.  Nevertheless,  the  issue  of<br \/>national  self-interest  rarely  if  ever  surfaced  in   any   presidential<br \/>statement  during  the  war.  Instead,  U.S.  rhetoric  presented  America's<br \/>position as totally idealistic in nature.  The  United  States  entered  the<br \/>war, President Wilson declared, not for reasons of  economic  self-interest,<br \/>but to \"make the world safe for democracy.\" Our purpose was not  to  restore<br \/>a balance of power in Europe, but to fight a war that would \"end  all  wars\"<br \/>and produce \"a  peace  without  victory.\"  Rather  than  seek  a  sphere  of<br \/>influence for American power, the United States  instead  declared  that  it<br \/>sought  to  establish  a  new  form  of  internationalism  based  on   self-<br \/>determination for all peoples, freedom of the seas, the end of all  economic<br \/>barriers between nations, and  development  of  a  new  international  order<br \/>based on the principles of democracy.<br \/>    America's historic reluctance to use arguments of  self-interest  as  a<br \/>basis  for  foreign  policy  undoubtedly  reflected  a  belief  that,  in  a<br \/>democracy, people would  not  support  foreign  ventures  inconsistent  with<br \/>their own sense  of  themselves  as  a  noble  and  just  country.  But  the<br \/>consequences  were  to  limit  severely  the  flexibility  necessary  to   a<br \/>multifaceted and effective diplomacy,  and  to  force  national  leaders  to<br \/>invoke moral - even religious - idealism as a basis for actions  that  might<br \/>well fall short of the expectations generated by moralistic visions.<br \/>    The Soviet Union, by contrast,  operated  with  few  such  constraints.<br \/>Although Soviet pronouncements  on  foreign  policy  tediously  invoked  the<br \/>rhetoric of capitalist imperialism, abstract principles meant far less  than<br \/>national self-interest  in  arriving  at  foreign  policy  positions.  Every<br \/>action that the Soviet Union had taken since the Bolshevik revolution,  from<br \/>the peace treaty with the Kaiser to the 1939 Nazi-Soviet  pact  and  Russian<br \/>occupation of the Baltic states reflected this policy of  self-interest.  As<br \/>Stalin told British  Foreign  Minister  Anthony  Eden  during  the  war,  \"a<br \/>declaration I regard as algebra ... I prefer practical arithmetic.\"  Or,  as<br \/>the Japanese ambassador to Moscow later said, \"the  Soviet  authorities  are<br \/>extremely realistic and it is most difficult to persuade them with  abstract<br \/>arguments.\" Clearly, both  the  United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union  saw<br \/>foreign policy as involving a combination of self-interest  and  ideological<br \/>principle. Yet the history of the two  countries  suggested  that  principle<br \/>was far more a consideration in the formulation of American foreign  policy,<br \/>while self-interest-purely defined-controlled Soviet actions.<br \/>    The difference became relevant during the 1930s as  Franklin  Roosevelt<br \/>attempted to find some way to move American public opinion back to a  spirit<br \/>of internationalism. After World War I, Americans had felt betrayed  by  the<br \/>abandonment  of  Wilsonian  principles.  Persuaded  that  the   war   itself<br \/>represented a mischievous conspiracy by munitions makers and bankers to  get<br \/>America  involved,  Americans  had  preferred  to  opt  for  isolation   and<br \/>\"normalcy\" rather than participate in the ambiguities  of  what  so  clearly<br \/>appeared to be a corrupt international order.  Now,  Roosevelt  set  out  to<br \/>reverse those perceptions. He  understood  the  dire  consequences  of  Nazi<br \/>ambitions for world hegemony. Yet to pose the issue strictly as one of self-<br \/>interest offered little chance of  success  given  the  depth  of  America's<br \/>revulsion toward internationalism. The task of  education  was  immense.  As<br \/>time went on, Roosevelt relied  more  and  more  on  the  traditional  moral<br \/>rhetoric of American values as  a  means  of  justifying  the  international<br \/>involvement that he knew must inevitably lead to war. Thus,  throughout  the<br \/>1930s he repeatedly discussed Nazi aggression as  a  direct  threat  to  the<br \/>most cherished American beliefs in freedom of speech, freedom  of  religion,<br \/>and freedom of occupational choice. When  German  actions  corroborated  the<br \/>president's simple words, the opportunity presented itself for carrying  the<br \/>nation toward another great crusade on behalf  of  democracy,  freedom,  and<br \/>peace. Roosevelt wished to avoid the errors of Wilsonian overstatement,  but<br \/>he understood the necessity of generating moral fervor as a means of  moving<br \/>the nation  toward  the  intervention  he  knew  to  be  necessary  if  both<br \/>America's self-interest-and her moral principles-were to be preserved.<br \/>    The Atlantic Charter represented the embodiment  of  Roosevelt's  quest<br \/>for moral justification of American  involvement.  Presented  to  the  world<br \/>after the president and Prime  Minister  Churchill  met  off  the  coast  of<br \/>Newfoundland in the summer of 1941, the Charter set forth the  common  goals<br \/>that would guide America over the next few years. There would be  no  secret<br \/>commitments, the President said. Britain and America sought  no  territorial<br \/>aggrandizement. They would oppose  any  violation  of  the  right  to  self-<br \/>government for all peoples. They stood for  open  trade,  free  exchange  of<br \/>ideas,  freedom  of  worship  and  expression,  and  the  creation   of   an<br \/>international organization to preserve and protect future peace. This  would<br \/>be a war fought for freedom\u00f3freedom from fear, freedom  from  want,  freedom<br \/>of religion, freedom from the old politics of balance-of-power diplomacy.<br \/>    Roosevelt deeply believed in those  ideals  and  saw  no  inconsistency<br \/>between the moral principles they represented  and  American  self-interest.<br \/>Yet these very  commitments  threatened  to  generate  misunderstanding  and<br \/>conflict with the Soviet Union whose own priorities were much more  directly<br \/>expressed in terms of \"practical arithmetic.\" Russia  wanted  security.  The<br \/>Soviet Union  sought  a  sphere  of  influence  over  which  it  could  have<br \/>unrestricted control. It wished territorial boundaries  that  would  reflect<br \/>the  concessions  won  through  military  conflict.  All  these  objectives-<br \/>potentially-ran counter to the  Atlantic  Charter.  Roosevelt  himself-never<br \/>afraid of inconsistency-often  talked  the  same  language.  Frequently,  he<br \/>spoke  of  guaranteeing  the  USSR  \"measures  of  legitimate  security\"  on<br \/>territorial questions, and he envisioned a postwar world in which the  \"four<br \/>policemen\"-the superpowers-would manage the world.<br \/>    But Roosevelt also understood that the American public would not accept<br \/>the public embrace of such positions. A rationale  of  narrow  self-interest<br \/>was not acceptable, especially if that self-interest led to  abandoning  the<br \/>ideals of the Atlantic Charter. In short, the different ways  in  which  the<br \/>Soviet Union and the United States  articulated  their  objectives  for  the<br \/>war\u00f3and  formulated  their  foreign  policy\u00f3threatened  to  compromise   the<br \/>prospect for long-term cooperation. The language  of  universalism  and  the<br \/>language  of  balance-of-power  politics  were  incompatible,  at  least  in<br \/>theory. Thus, the United  States  and  the  Soviet  Union  entered  the  war<br \/>burdened not only by their deep mistrust of  each  other's  motivations  and<br \/>systems of government, but also by a  significantly  different  emphasis  on<br \/>what should constitute the major rationale for fighting the war.<br \/><br \/>1.2 Causes and Interpretations.<br \/><br \/>     Any historian who studies the Cold War  must  come  to  grips  with  a<br \/> series of questions, which, even if unanswerable in a  definitive  fashion,<br \/> nevertheless compel examination. Was the Cold War inevitable? If  not,  how<br \/> could it have been avoided? What role did personalities  play?  Were  there<br \/> points at which different courses of action might have been followed?  What<br \/> economic factors were central? What ideological  causes?  Which  historical<br \/> forces? At what juncture did alternative possibilities become invalid? When<br \/> was the die cast? Above all, what were the primary reasons for defining the<br \/> world in such a polarized and ideological framework?<br \/>      The simplest and easiest response is to conclude that  Soviet-American<br \/> confrontation was so deeply rooted  in  differences  of  values,  economic<br \/> systems, or historical experiences  that  only  extraordinary  action\u00f3  by<br \/> individuals or groups\u00f3could have prevented the conflict.  One  version  of<br \/> the inevitability hypothesis would argue that the Soviet Union, given  its<br \/> commitment to the  ideology  of  communism,  was  dedicated  to  worldwide<br \/> revolution and would use any and  every  means  possible  to  promote  the<br \/> demise of the West. According to this view\u00f3based  in  large  part  on  the<br \/> rhetoric  of  Stalin  and  Lenin\u00f3world  revolution  constituted  the  sole<br \/> priority of Soviet policy. Even the  appearance  of  accommodation  was  a<br \/> Soviet design to soften up capitalist states for  eventual  confrontation.<br \/> As defined, admittedly in oversimplified fashion, by George Kennan in  his<br \/> famous 1947 article on containment, Russian  diplomacy  \"moves  along  the<br \/> prescribed path, like a persistent toy automobile, wound up and headed  in<br \/> a given direction, stopping only when it meets some  unanswerable  force.\"<br \/> Soviet subservience to a universal, religious creed  ruled  out  even  the<br \/> possibility of mutual  concessions,  since  even  temporary  accommodation<br \/> would be used by the Russians as part of  their  grand  scheme  to  secure<br \/> world domination.<br \/>      A second version  of  the  same  hypothesis\u00f3argued  by  some  American<br \/> revisionist historians\u00f3contends that the endless demands of capitalism for<br \/> new markets propelled the United States into a course of intervention  and<br \/> imperialism. According to this argument, a capitalist society can  survive<br \/> only by opening new areas for exploitation.  Without  the  development  of<br \/> multinational corporations, strong ties with German capitalists, and  free<br \/> trade across national boundaries, America would revert to  the  depression<br \/> of the prewar years. Hence, an aggressive internationalism became the only<br \/> means through which the ruling class of the  United  States  could  retain<br \/> hegemony. In support of this argument, historians point to the  number  of<br \/> American policymakers who explicitly articulated  an  economic  motivation<br \/> for U.S. foreign policy. \"We cannot expect domestic prosperity  under  our<br \/> system,\" Assistant Secretary  of  State  Dean  Acheson  said,  \"without  a<br \/> constantly expanding trade with other nations.\" Echoing  the  same  theme,<br \/> the State Department's William  Clayton  declared:  \"We  need  markets\u00f3big<br \/> markets\u00f3around the world in which to buy and sell. .  .  .  We've  got  to<br \/> export three times as much as we exported just before the war if  we  want<br \/> to keep our industry running somewhere near capacity.\" According  to  this<br \/> argument, economic necessity motivated the Truman Doctrine,  the  Marshall<br \/> Plan, and the vigorous efforts of U.S. policymakers  to  open  up  Eastern<br \/> Europe for trade and investment. Within such a frame of reference, it  was<br \/> the  capitalist   economic   system\u00f3not   Soviet   commitment   to   world<br \/> revolution\u00f3that made the Cold War unavoidable.<br \/>    Still a third version of the inevitability hypothesis\u00f3partly  based  on<br \/>the first two\u00f3would insist  that  historical  differences  between  the  two<br \/>superpowers and their systems of government made any efforts toward  postwar<br \/>cooperation almost impossible. Russia had always been deeply  suspicious  of<br \/>the West, and under Stalin that suspicion had escalated into paranoia,  with<br \/>Soviet leaders  fearing  that  any  opening  of  channels  would  ultimately<br \/>destroy their own ability to retain total mastery over the  Russian  people.<br \/>The West's failure to implement early promises of a  second  front  and  the<br \/>subsequent divisions of opinion over how to  treat  occupied  territory  had<br \/>profoundly  strained  any  possible  basis  of  trust.  From   an   American<br \/>perspective, in turn, it stretched credibility to expect a nation  committed<br \/>to human rights to place confidence in  a  ruthless  dictator,  who  in  one<br \/>Yugoslav's words, had  single-handedly  been  responsible  for  more  Soviet<br \/>deaths  than  all  the  armies  of  Nazi  Germany.   Through   the   purges,<br \/>collectivization, and mass imprisonment  of  Russian  citizens,  Stalin  had<br \/>presided over the killing of 20 million of his own people.  How  then  could<br \/>he be trusted to respect the rights of others? According to  this  argument,<br \/>only the presence of a  common  enemy  had  made  possible  even  short-term<br \/>solidarity between Russia and the United States; in the absence of a  German<br \/>foe, natural antagonisms were bound to surface. America had  one  system  of<br \/>politics, Russia another, and as Truman declared in  1948,  \"a  totalitarian<br \/>state is no different whether you  call  it  Nazi,  fascist,  communist,  or<br \/>Franco Spain.\"<br \/>    Yet, in retrospect, these arguments for inevitability tell only part of<br \/>the story. Notwithstanding the Soviet Union's rhetorical  commitment  to  an<br \/>ideology of  world  revolution,  there  is  abundant  evidence  of  Russia's<br \/>willingness to forego ideological purity in the cause of national  interest.<br \/>Stalin, after all, had turned  away  from  world  revolution  in  committing<br \/>himself to building \"socialism in one  country.\"  Repeatedly,  he  indicated<br \/>his readiness to betray the communist movement in China and  to  accept  the<br \/>leadership of Chiang Kai-shek. George  Kennan  recalled  the  Soviet  leader<br \/>\"snorting rather contemptuously . . . because one of our people  asked  them<br \/>what they were going to give to China when [the war] was over.\" \"We  have  a<br \/>hundred cities of our own to build in  the  Soviet  Far  East,\"  Stalin  had<br \/>responded. \"If anybody is going to give anything to the Far  East,  I  think<br \/>it's you.\" Similarly, Stalin refused to give any support  to  communists  in<br \/>Greece during their rebellion against British domination there. As  late  as<br \/>1948 he told the vice-premier of Yugoslavia, \"What do you think, . . .  that<br \/>Great Britain and the United States . . . will permit  you  to  break  their<br \/>lines of communication in the Mediterranean? Nonsense . . . the uprising  in<br \/>Greece must be stopped, and as quickly as possible.\"<br \/>    Nor are the  other  arguments  for  inevitability  totally  persuasive.<br \/>Without question, America's desire for commercial markets played a  role  in<br \/>the strategy of the Cold War. As Truman said in 1949,  devotion  to  freedom<br \/>of enterprise \"is part and parcel of what we  call  America.\"  Yet  was  the<br \/>need for markets sufficient to force a confrontation that  ultimately  would<br \/>divert precious resources from other, more productive use?  Throughout  most<br \/>of its history, Wall Street has opposed  a  bellicose  position  in  foreign<br \/>policy. Similarly, although historical differences are important,  it  makes<br \/>no sense to regard  them  as  determinative.  After  all,  the  war  led  to<br \/>extraordinary examples of cooperation that  bridged  these  differences;  if<br \/>they could be overcome once, then why not again? Thus,  while  each  of  the<br \/>arguments for inevitability reflects truths that  contributed  to  the  Cold<br \/>War, none offers an explanation sufficient of itself,  for  contending  that<br \/>the Cold War was unavoidable.<br \/>    A stronger case, it seems, can be made for the position that  the  Cold<br \/>War was unnecessary, or at least that conflicts could have been  handled  in<br \/>a manner that avoided bipolarization and  the  rhetoric  of  an  ideological<br \/>crusade. At no time did Russia constitute a military threat  to  the  United<br \/>States. \"Economically,\" U.S.  Naval  Intelligence  reported  in  1946,  \"the<br \/>Soviet Union is exhausted.... The USSR is not expected to  take  any  action<br \/>in the next five  years  which  might  develop  into  hostility  with  Anglo<br \/>Americans.\" Notwithstanding the Truman  administration's  public  statements<br \/>about a Soviet threat, Russia had cut its army from 11.5 to  3  million  men<br \/>after the war. In 1948, its military budget amounted to only  half  of  that<br \/>of the United States. Even militant anticommunists like John  Foster  Dulles<br \/>acknowledged that \"the  Soviet  leadership  does  not  want  and  would  not<br \/>consciously risk\"  a  military  confrontation  with  the  West.  Indeed,  so<br \/>exaggerated  was  American  rhetoric  about  Russia's  threat  that   Hanson<br \/>Baldwin, military expert of the New York Times, compared the claims  of  our<br \/>armed forces to the \"shepherd who cried wolf, wolf, wolf, when there was  no<br \/>wolf.\" Thus, on purely factual grounds, there existed no military basis  for<br \/>the fear that the Soviet Union was about to seize world domination,  despite<br \/>the often belligerent pose Russia took on political issues.<br \/>    A second,  somewhat  more  problematic,  argument  for  the  thesis  of<br \/>avoidability consists of the extent to which Russian leaders appeared  ready<br \/>to abide by at least some agreements made during the war. Key, here, is  the<br \/>understanding reached by Stalin and Churchill during the  fall  of  1944  on<br \/>the division  of  Europe  into  spheres  of  influence.  According  to  that<br \/>understanding, Russia was to dominate Romania, have a  powerful  voice  over<br \/>Bulgaria, and share influence in other  Eastern  European  countries,  while<br \/>Britain  and  America  were  to  control  Greece.  By  most  accounts,  that<br \/>understanding was implemented. Russia refused  to  intervene  on  behalf  of<br \/>communist insurgency in Greece. While retaining rigid control over  Romania,<br \/>she provided at least a \"fig-leaf  of  democratic  procedure\"\u00f3sufficient  to<br \/>satisfy the British. For two  years  the  USSR  permitted  the  election  of<br \/>noncommunist or coalition regimes in both Hungary  and  Czechoslovakia.  The<br \/>Finns, meanwhile, were permitted to choose a noncommunist government and  to<br \/>practice Western-style democracy as  long  as  their  country  maintained  a<br \/>friendly foreign policy toward their neighbor on the east. Indeed,  to  this<br \/>day, Finland remains an example of  what  might  have  evolved  had  earlier<br \/>wartime understandings on both sides been allowed to continue.<br \/>    What then went wrong? First, it seems clear that both  sides  perceived<br \/>the other as breaking  agreements  that  they  thought  had  been  made.  By<br \/>signing a separate peace settlement with the Lublin Poles,  imprisoning  the<br \/>sixteen members of the Polish underground, and imposing\u00f3without  regard  for<br \/>democratic appearances\u00f3total hegemony on Poland, the Soviets had broken  the<br \/>spirit, if not the letter, of the Yalta accords. Similarly,  they  blatantly<br \/>violated the agreement made by both powers to withdraw from  Iran  once  the<br \/>war was over,  thus  precipitating  the  first  direct  threat  of  military<br \/>confrontation during the Cold War. In their attitude toward Eastern  Europe,<br \/>reparations, and peaceful cooperation with the West, the  Soviets  exhibited<br \/>increasing rigidity and suspicion after  April  1945.  On  the  other  hand,<br \/>Stalin had good reason to accuse the United States of reneging  on  compacts<br \/>made during the war. After at least tacitly accepting Russia's  right  to  a<br \/>sphere of influence in Eastern Europe, the West seemed  suddenly  to  change<br \/>positions and insist on Western-style  democracies  and  economies.  As  the<br \/>historian Robert Daliek  has  shown,  Roosevelt  and  Churchill  gave  every<br \/>indication at Tehran and Yalta that they acknowledged the Soviet's  need  to<br \/>have friendly governments  in  Eastern  Europe.  Roosevelt  seemed  to  care<br \/>primarily about securing token or  cosmetic  concessions  toward  democratic<br \/>processes while accepting the  substance  of  Russian  domination.  Instead,<br \/>misunderstanding developed over the meaning of  the  Yalta  accords,  Truman<br \/>confronted Molotov with demands that the Soviets saw  as  inconsistent  with<br \/>prior understandings, and mutual suspicion rather than  cooperation  assumed<br \/>dominance in relations between the two superpowers.<br \/>    It is this area of misperception and misunderstanding  that  historians<br \/>have focused on recently as most critical to the emergence of the Cold  War.<br \/>Presumably, neither side had a master plan of how to proceed  once  the  war<br \/>ended. Stalin's  ambitions,  according  to  recent  scholarship,  were  ill-<br \/>defined, or  at  least  amenable  to  modification  depending  on  America's<br \/>posture. The United States, in turn,  gave  mixed  signals,  with  Roosevelt<br \/>implying to every  group  his  agreement  with  their  point  of  view,  yet<br \/>ultimately keeping his personal intentions secret. If, in fact,  both  sides<br \/>could  have  agreed  to  a  sphere-of-influence  policy\u00f3albeit   with   some<br \/>modifications to satisfy  American  political  opinion\u00f3there  could  perhaps<br \/>have been a foundation for  continued  accommodation.  Clearly,  the  United<br \/>States  intended  to  retain  control  over   its   sphere   of   influence,<br \/>particularly in Greece, Italy,  and  Turkey.  Moreover,  the  United  States<br \/>insisted  on  retaining  total  domination  over  the  Western   hemisphere,<br \/>consistent with the philosophy of the Monroe Doctrine. If  the  Soviets  had<br \/>been allowed similar control over  their  sphere  of  influence  in  Eastern<br \/>Europe, there might have existed a basis  for  compromise.  As  John  McCloy<br \/>asked at the time, \"[why was it necessary] to have our cake and eat it  too?<br \/>. . . To be free  to  operate  under  this  regional  arrangement  in  South<br \/>America and at the same time intervene promptly in Europe.\"  If  the  United<br \/>States and Russia had both acknowledged the spheres  of  influence  implicit<br \/>in their wartime agreements, perhaps a different  pattern  of  relationships<br \/>might have emerged in the postwar world.<br \/>    The fact that such a pattern did not emerge raises two issues, at least<br \/>from an American perspective. The first  is  whether  different  leaders  or<br \/>advisors  might  have  achieved  different  foreign  policy  results.   Some<br \/>historians believe that Roosevelt, with his subtlety and skill,  would  have<br \/>found a way to promote collaboration  with  the  Russians,  whereas  Truman,<br \/>with  his  short  temper,  inexperience,  and  insecurity,  blundered   into<br \/>unnecessary and  harmful  confrontations.  Clearly,  Roosevelt  himself\u00f3just<br \/>before  his  death\u00f3was  becoming  more  and  more  concerned  about   Soviet<br \/>intransigence and aggression. Nevertheless,  he  had  always  believed  that<br \/>through personal pressure and influence, he could find  a  way  to  persaude<br \/>\"uncle Joe.\" On the basis of what evidence we have, there seems good  reason<br \/>to believe that the Russians did place enormous trust in  FDR.  Perhaps\u00f3just<br \/>perhaps\u00f3Roosevelt could have found a  way  to  talk  \"practical  arithmetic\"<br \/>with Stalin rather than algebra and discover a common ground. Certainly,  if<br \/>recent historians are correct in seeing the  Cold  War  as  caused  by  both<br \/>Stalin's  undefined  ambitions  and   America's   failure   to   communicate<br \/>effectively and consistently its view on where it would draw the  line  with<br \/>the Russians, then Roosevelt's long history of interaction with the  Soviets<br \/>would presumably have placed him in a better position to negotiate than  the<br \/>inexperienced Truman.<br \/>    The second issue is more complicated, speaking to a  political  problem<br \/>which beset both Roosevelt and Truman\u00f3namely, the  ability  of  an  American<br \/>president to formulate and win support for a foreign policy on the basis  of<br \/>national self-interest rather than moral purity. At some point in the  past,<br \/>an American diplomat wrote in 1967:<br \/>       [T]here crept into the ideas of Americans about foreign policy ...  a<br \/>   histrionic note, ... a desire to appear as something greater perhaps than<br \/>   one actually was. ... It was inconceivable that any war in which we  were<br \/>   involved could be less than momentous and  decisive  for  the  future  of<br \/>   humanity. ... As each war ended, ... we took  appeal  to  universalistic,<br \/>   Utopian ideals, related not to the specifics of national interest but  to<br \/>   legalistic and moralistic concepts that seemed better to accord with  the<br \/>   pretentious significance we had attached to our war effort.<br \/>    As a consequence, the diplomat went on, it became difficult to pursue a<br \/>policy not defined by the  language  of  \"angels  or  devils,\"  \"heroes\"  or<br \/>\"blackguards.\"<br \/>    Clearly, Roosevelt faced such  a  dilemma  in  proceeding  to  mobilize<br \/>American support for intervention in the  war  against  Nazism.  And  Truman<br \/>encountered the same difficulty in seeking to define a policy with which  to<br \/>meet Soviet postwar objectives. Both presidents, of course, participated  in<br \/>and  reflected  the  political  culture  that  constrained  their   options.<br \/>Potentially at least, Roosevelt seemed  intent  on  fudging  the  difference<br \/>between self-interest and moralism. He perceived one set  of  objectives  as<br \/>consistent with reaching an accommodation with the Soviets, and another  set<br \/>of goals as consistent with retaining popular support for his  diplomacy  at<br \/>home. It is difficult to avoid the conclusion  that  he  planned\u00f3in  a  very<br \/>Machiavellian way\u00f3to use rhetoric and appearances as a means  of  disguising<br \/>his true intention: to pursue a strategy of  self-interest.  It  seems  less<br \/>clear that Truman had either the subtlety or the wish to follow a  similarly<br \/>Machiavellian course. But if he had, the  way  might  have  been  opened  to<br \/>quite a different\u00f3albeit politically risky\u00f3 series of policies.<br \/><br \/>    None of this, of course, would have guaranteed the absence of  conflict<br \/>in Eastern Europe, Iran, or Turkey. Nor could  any  action  of  an  American<br \/>president\u00f3however much rooted in self-interest\u00f3have  obviated  the  personal<br \/>and  political  threat  posed  by  Stalinist   tyranny   and   ruthlessness,<br \/>particularly if Stalin himself had chosen, for whatever reason, to  act  out<br \/>his most aggressive and paranoid instincts.  But  if  a  sphere-of-influence<br \/>agreement had been possible, there is  some  reason  to  think\u00f3in  light  of<br \/>initial  Soviet  acceptance  of  Western-style   governments   in   Hungary,<br \/>Czechoslovakia, and Finland\u00f3that the iron curtain might not  have  descended<br \/>in the way that it did. In all historical sequences, one  action  builds  on<br \/>another. Thus, steps toward  cooperation  rather  than  confrontation  might<br \/>have created a momentum, a frame of reference and a basis of  mutual  trust,<br \/>that could have made unnecessary the total ideological  bipolarization  that<br \/>evolved by 1948. In short, if the primary goals of each superpower had  been<br \/>acknowledged and implemented\u00f3security for  the  Russians,  some  measure  of<br \/>pluralism in Eastern European countries for the United States, and  economic<br \/>interchange between the two blocs\u00f3it seems conceivable that the world  might<br \/>have avoided the stupidity, the fear, and the hysteria of the Cold War.<br \/>    As it was, of course, very little of the above scenario did take place.<br \/>After the confrontation in Iran,  the  Soviet  declaration  of  a  five-year<br \/>plan,  Churchill's  Fulton,  Missouri,  speech,   and   the   breakdown   of<br \/>negotiations on an American loan, confrontation between the two  superpowers<br \/>seemed irrevocable. It is difficult to imagine that  the  momentum  building<br \/>toward the Cold War could have been reversed after the winter and spring  of<br \/>1946. Thereafter, events assumed an almost inexorable  momentum,  with  both<br \/>sides using moralistic rhetoric and ideological denunciation to pillory  the<br \/>other. In the United States it became incumbent on  the  president\u00f3in  order<br \/>to secure domestic political support\u00f3to defend the Truman Doctrine  and  the<br \/>Marshall Plan in universalistic, moral terms. Thus, we became  engaged,  not<br \/>in an effort to assure jobs and security, but in a holy  war  against  evil.<br \/>Stalin, in turn, gave full vent to his crusade to eliminate any  vestige  of<br \/>free thought or national independence in Eastern  Europe.  Reinhold  Niebuhr<br \/>might have been speaking for both sides when he said  in  1948,  \"we  cannot<br \/>afford any more compromises. We will have to stand at  every  point  in  our<br \/>far flung lines.\"<br \/>    The tragedy, of course, was that such a  policy  offered  no  room  for<br \/>intelligence or flexibility. If the battle in the  world  was  between  good<br \/>and evil, believers and nonbelievers, anyone who questioned  the  wisdom  of<br \/>established policy risked dismissal as a traitor or  worse.  In  the  Soviet<br \/>Union the Gulag Archipelago of concentration camps and  executions  was  the<br \/>price of failing to conform to the party line. But the United States paid  a<br \/>price as well. An ideological frame of reference had emerged  through  which<br \/>all other information was filtered. The mentality of  the  Cold  War  shaped<br \/>everything, defining issues according to moralistic assumptions,  regardless<br \/>of objective reality. It had been George Kennan's telegram in February  1946<br \/>that helped to provide the intellectual basis for this  frame  of  reference<br \/>by portraying the Soviet Union as \"a political force committed  fanatically\"<br \/>to confrontation with the United States and domination of the world. It  was<br \/>also George Kennan twenty years later who so  searchingly  criticized  those<br \/>who insisted on seeing foreign policy as a  battle  of  angels  and  devils,<br \/>heroes and  blackguards.  And  ironically,  it  was  Kennan  yet  again  who<br \/>declared in the 1970s that \"the image of  a  Stalinist  Russia,  poised  and<br \/>yearning to attack the west, . . . was largely  a  product  of  the  western<br \/>imagination.\"<br \/>    But for more than a generation, that image would  shape  American  life<br \/>and world politics. The price was astronomical\u00f3and perhaps\u00f3 avoidable.<br \/>Chapter 2: The Cold War Chronology.<br \/>    2.1 The War Years.<br \/><br \/>    Whatever tensions existed before the war, conflicts over  military  and<br \/>diplomatic  issues  during  the  war  proved  sufficiently  grave  to  cause<br \/>additional mistrust. Two countries that in the past  had  shared  almost  no<br \/>common ground now found themselves  intimately  tied  to  each  other,  with<br \/>little foundation of mutual confidence on which to build. The problems  that<br \/>resulted clustered in two areas: (1) how much aid the West would provide  to<br \/>alleviate the disproportionate burden borne by the Soviet Union in  fighting<br \/>the war; and (2) how to resolve the  dilemmas  of  making  peace,  occupying<br \/>conquered territory,  and  defining  postwar  responsibilities.  Inevitably,<br \/>each issue became inextricably bound  to  the  others,  posing  problems  of<br \/>statecraft and good faith that perhaps  went  beyond  the  capacity  of  any<br \/>mortal to solve.<br \/>    The central issue dividing the allies involved  how  much  support  the<br \/>United States and  Britain  would  offer  to  mitigate,  then  relieve,  the<br \/>devastation being sustained  by  the  Soviet  people.  Stated  bluntly,  the<br \/>Soviet Union bore the massive  share  of  Nazi  aggression.  The  statistics<br \/>alone are overwhelming. Soviet deaths totaled more than  18  million  during<br \/>the war\u00f3sixty times the three hundred thousand  lives  lost  by  the  United<br \/>States. Seventy  thousand  Soviet  villages  were  destroyed,  $128  billion<br \/>dollars worth of property leveled to the ground. Leningrad, the crown  jewel<br \/>of Russia's cities, symbolized the suffering experienced  at  the  hands  of<br \/>the Nazis. Filled with art and beautiful architecture,  the  former  capital<br \/>of Russia came under siege by German armies  almost  immediately  after  the<br \/>invasion of the Soviet Union. When the attack  began,  the  city  boasted  a<br \/>population of 3 million citizens. At the end, only 600,000  remained.  There<br \/>was no food, no fuel, no  hope.  More  than  a  million  starved,  and  some<br \/>survived by resorting to cannibalism. Yet the city endured, the  Nazis  were<br \/>repelled, and  the  victory  that  came  with  survival  helped  launch  the<br \/>campaign that would ultimately crush Hitler's tyranny.<br \/>    Such suffering provided the backdrop  for  a  bitter  controversy  over<br \/>whether the United States and Britain were doing enough to assume their  own<br \/>just share of the fight.  Roosevelt  understood  that  Russia's  battle  was<br \/>America's.  \"The  Russian  armies  are  killing  more  Axis  personnel   and<br \/>destroying more Axis materiel,\" he wrote General Douglas MacArthur in  1942,<br \/>\"than all the other twenty-five United Nations put  together.\"  As  soon  as<br \/>the Germans invaded Russia, the president ordered that  lend-lease  material<br \/>be made immediately available to the Soviet Union, instructing his  personal<br \/>aide to get $22 million worth of supplies on their way by July 25\u00f3one  month<br \/>after the German invasion. Roosevelt knew  that,  unless  the  Soviets  were<br \/>helped quickly, they would be forced out of  the  war,  leaving  the  United<br \/>States in an untenable position. \"If [only]  the  Russians  could  hold  the<br \/>Germans until October 1,\" the president said. At a Cabinet meeting early  in<br \/>August, Roosevelt declared himself \"sick and tired of hearing  .  .  .  what<br \/>was on order\"; he wanted to hear only \"what was on the  water.\"  Roosevelt's<br \/>commitment to lend-lease reflected his  deep  conviction  that  aid  to  the<br \/>Soviets was both the most effective way of combating German  aggression  and<br \/>the strongest means of building a basis of trust with  Stalin  in  order  to<br \/>facilitate postwar cooperation. \"I do not want to be in  the  same  position<br \/>as the English,\" Roosevelt told his Secretary of the Treasury in 1942.  \"The<br \/>English promised the Russians two  divisions.  They  failed.  They  promised<br \/>them to help in the Caucasus. They failed. Every promise  the  English  have<br \/>made to the Russians, they have fallen down on. . . .  The  only  reason  we<br \/>stand so well ... is that up to date we have kept our  promises.\"  Over  and<br \/>over again Roosevelt intervened directly  and  personally  to  expedite  the<br \/>shipment of supplies. \"Please get out the list  and  please,  with  my  full<br \/>authority, use a heavy hand,\" he told one assistant. \"Act as  a  burr  under<br \/>the saddle and get things moving!\"<br \/>    But even Roosevelt's personal involvement could not  end  the  problems<br \/>that  kept   developing   around   the   lend-lease   program.   Inevitably,<br \/>bureaucratic tangles delayed shipment of  necessary  supplies.  Furthermore,<br \/>German submarine assaults sank thousands of tons of weaponry.  In  just  one<br \/>month in 1942, twenty-three of thirty-seven merchant vessels  on  their  way<br \/>to the Soviet Union were destroyed, forcing a cancellation of  shipments  to<br \/>Murmansk. Indeed, until late summer of 1942, the Allies lost more  ships  in<br \/>submarine attacks than they were able to build.<br \/>    Above all, old suspicions continued to creep into the  ongoing  process<br \/>of negotiating and  distributing  lend-lease  supplies.  Americans  who  had<br \/>learned during the purges to regard Stalin as \"a sort  of  unwashed  Genghis<br \/>Khan with blood dripping from his fingertips\" could not believe that he  had<br \/>changed his colors overnight and was now to be viewed as  a  gentle  friend.<br \/>Many Americans believed that they were saving the Soviet  Union  with  their<br \/>supplies,  without  recognizing  the   extent   of   Soviet   suffering   or<br \/>appreciating the fact that the Russians were helping to save American  lives<br \/>by their sacrifice on the battlefield. Soviet officials, in  turn,  believed<br \/>that  their  American  counterparts  overseeing  the  shipments   were   not<br \/>necessarily doing all that they might to implement the promises made by  the<br \/>president. Americans expected gratitude. Russians  expected  supplies.  Both<br \/>expectations were justified, yet the conflict reflected the extent to  which<br \/>underlying  distrust  continued  to  poison  the  prospect  of  cooperation.<br \/>\"Frankly,\" FDR told one subordinate, \"if I was a Russian, I would feel  that<br \/>I had been given the  runaround  in  the  United  States.\"  Yet  with  equal<br \/>justification,  Americans  resented   Soviet   ingratitude.   \"The   Russian<br \/>authorities seem to want to cover  up  the  fact  that  they  are  receiving<br \/>outside help,\" American Ambassador Standley told a Moscow  press  conference<br \/>in March 1943. \"Apparently they want their people to believe  that  the  Red<br \/>Army is fighting this war alone.\" Clearly, the battle against  Nazi  Germany<br \/>was not the only conflict taking place.<br \/>    Yet the disputes over lend-lease proved minor compared to the issue  of<br \/>a second front\u00f3what one historian  has  called  \"the  acid  test  of  Anglo-<br \/>American intentions.\" However much help the United States could  provide  in<br \/>the way of war materiel, the decisive form of relief that Stalin sought  was<br \/>the actual involvement of American and British soldiers in  Western  Europe.<br \/>Only such an invasion could significantly relieve the  pressure  of  massive<br \/>German divisions on the eastern front. During the years 1941-44, fewer  than<br \/>10 percent of Germany's troops were in the west, while nearly three  hundred<br \/>divisions were committed to conquering Russia. If the Soviet  Union  was  to<br \/>survive, and the Allies to secure victory, it was imperative  that  American<br \/>and British troops force a diversion of German troops to the west  and  help<br \/>make possible the pincer movement from east and west that  would  eventually<br \/>annihilate the fascist foe.<br \/>    Roosevelt understood this all too well.  Indeed,  he  appears  to  have<br \/>wished nothing more than the most rapid possible development of  the  second<br \/>front. In part, he saw such action as the only means  to  deflect  a  Soviet<br \/>push for acceptance of Russia's pre-World War II  territorial  acquisitions,<br \/>particularly in the Baltic states and Finland. Such acquisitions  would  not<br \/>only be contrary to the Atlantic Charter and America's commitment  to  self-<br \/>determination; they would also undermine the prospect of securing  political<br \/>support in America for international postwar cooperation.  Hence,  Roosevelt<br \/>hoped to postpone, until  victory  was  achieved,  any  final  decisions  on<br \/>issues of territory. Shrewdly, the president understood that meeting  Soviet<br \/>demands for direct military assistance through a second  front  would  offer<br \/>the most effective answer to Russia's territorial aspirations.<br \/>    Roosevelt had read the  Soviet  attitude  correctly.  In  1942,  Soviet<br \/>foreign minister Molotov readily agreed to withdraw his territorial  demands<br \/>in deference to U.S. concerns because the second  front  was  so  much  more<br \/>decisive an issue. When Molotov asked whether the Allies could  undertake  a<br \/>second front operation that would draw off forty German divisions  from  the<br \/>eastern front, the president replied  that  it  could  and  that  it  would.<br \/>Roosevelt cabled Churchill that he was \"more anxious than ever\" for a cross-<br \/>channel attack in August 1942 so that Molotov would be able to  \"carry  back<br \/>some real results of his mission and give a favorable report to Stalin.\"  At<br \/>the end of their 1942 meeting, Roosevelt pledged to Molotov-and through  him<br \/>to Stalin-that a second front would be established that year. The  president<br \/>then proceeded to mobilize his own military advisors to  develop  plans  for<br \/>such an attack.<br \/>    But Roosevelt could not  deliver.  Massive  logistical  and  production<br \/>problems obstructed any  possibility  of  invading  Western  Europe  on  the<br \/>timetable Roosevelt had promised. As a result, despite Roosevelt's own  best<br \/>intentions and the commitment of his military staff, he could not  implement<br \/>his  desire  to  proceed.  In  addition,  Roosevelt  repeatedly  encountered<br \/>objections from Churchill and  the  British  military  establishment,  still<br \/>traumatized by the memory of the  bloodletting  that  had  occurred  in  the<br \/>trench fighting of World War I. For Churchill, engagement of  the  Nazis  in<br \/>North Africa and then through the \"soft  underbelly\"  of  Europe-Sicily  and<br \/>Italy-offered a better prospect for success. Hence, after  promising  Stalin<br \/>a second front in August 1942, Roosevelt had to withdraw the pledge and  ask<br \/>for delay of the second front until the  spring  of  1943.  When  that  date<br \/>arrived, he was forced to pull back yet again for political  and  logistical<br \/>reasons. By the time D-Day finally dawned  on  June  6,  1944,  the  Western<br \/>Allies had broken their promise on the single most critical  military  issue<br \/>of the war three times. On each occasion, there had been  ample  reason  for<br \/>the delay, but given the continued heavy burden placed on the Soviet  Union,<br \/>it was perhaps understandable that some  Russian  leaders  viewed  America's<br \/>delay on the second front question with suspicion, sarcasm, and anger.  When<br \/>D-Day arrived, Stalin acknowledged the operation to be one of  the  greatest<br \/>military ventures of human history. Still, the squabbles  that  preceded  D-<br \/>Day contributed substantially to the suspicions  and  tension  that  already<br \/>existed between the two nations.<br \/>    Another broad area of conflict emerged over who would control  occupied<br \/>areas once the war ended? How would peace be negotiated? The  principles  of<br \/>the Atlantic Charter presumed establishment of democratic,  freely  elected,<br \/>and representative governments in every area won back  from  the  Nazis.  If<br \/>universalism were to prevail, each  country  liberated  from  Germany  would<br \/>have the opportunity  to  determine  its  own  political  structure  through<br \/>democratic means that would ensure representation of  all  factions  of  the<br \/>body politic.  If  \"sphere  of  influence\"  policies  were  implemented,  by<br \/>contrast, the  major  powers  would  dictate  such  decisions  in  a  manner<br \/>consistent with  their  own  self-interest.  Ultimately,  this  issue  would<br \/>become the decisive point of confrontation during the Cold  War,  reflecting<br \/>the different  state  systems  and  political  values  of  the  Soviets  and<br \/>Americans; but  even  in  the  midst  of  the  fighting,  the  Allies  found<br \/>themselves in major disagreement, sowing seeds of distrust  that  boded  ill<br \/>for the future. Since no plans were established in advance on  how  to  deal<br \/>with these issues, they were handled on  a  case  by  case  basis,  in  each<br \/>instance reinforcing the  suspicions  already  present  between  the  Soviet<br \/>Union and the West.<br \/>    Notwithstanding the Atlantic Charter, Britain  and  the  United  States<br \/>proceeded on a de  facto  basis  to  implement  policies  at  variance  with<br \/>universalism. Thus, for example, General Dwight  Eisenhower  was  authorized<br \/>to reach an accommodation with Admiral Darlan in North Africa as a means  of<br \/>avoiding an extended military campaign  to  defeat  the  Vichy,  pro-fascist<br \/>collaborators who controlled that area. From  the  perspective  of  military<br \/>necessity and the preservation of life, it made sense  to  compromise  one's<br \/>ideals in such a situation. Yet the  precedent  inevitably  raised  problems<br \/>with regard to allied efforts to secure self-determination elsewhere.<br \/>    The issue arose again during the Allied invasion of Italy. There,  too,<br \/>concern with expediting military victory and  securing  political  stability<br \/>caused Britain and the United States to negotiate with the fascist  Badoglio<br \/>regime. \"We cannot be put into a position,\" Churchill said, \"where  our  two<br \/>armies are doing all the fighting but Russians  have  a  veto.\"  Yet  Stalin<br \/>bitterly  resented  being  excluded  from  participation  in   the   Italian<br \/>negotiations.  The  Soviet  Union  protested  vigorously  the   failure   to<br \/>establish a tripartite commission to conduct  all  occupation  negotiations.<br \/>It was time, Stalin said,  to  stop  viewing  Russia  as  \"a  passive  third<br \/>observer. ... It is impossible to tolerate such a situation any longer.\"  In<br \/>the end, Britain and the United  States  offered  the  token  concession  of<br \/>giving the Soviets an innocuous role  on  the  advisory  commission  dealing<br \/>with Italy, but  the  primary  result  of  the  Italian  experience  was  to<br \/>reemphasize a crucial political reality: when push came to shove, those  who<br \/>exercised military control in an immediate  situation  would  also  exercise<br \/>political control over any occupation regime.<br \/>    The shoe was on the other foot when it came to Western desires to  have<br \/>a voice over Soviet actions in the Balkan states, particularly  Romania.  By<br \/>not giving Russia an opportunity to participate in  the  Italian  surrender,<br \/>the  West-in   effect-helped   legitimize   Russia's   desire   to   proceed<br \/>unilaterally in Eastern Europe. Although both Churchill and  Roosevelt  were<br \/>\"acutely conscious of the great importance  of  the  Balkan  situation\"  and<br \/>wished to \"take advantage of\" any opportunity to exercise influence in  that<br \/>area, the simple fact was that Soviet troops were in control.  Churchill-and<br \/>privately  Roosevelt  as  well-accepted  the  consequences.  \"The  occupying<br \/>forces had the power in the area where their arms were  present,\"  Roosevelt<br \/>noted, \"and each knew that the other could not force things  to  an  issue.\"<br \/>But the contradiction between the stated idealistic aims of the  war  effort<br \/>and such realpolitik would come back  to  haunt  the  prospect  for  postwar<br \/>collaboration, particularly in the areas of Poland and other  east  European<br \/>countries.<br \/>    Moments of conflict, of course, took place within the context of day-to-<br \/>day  cooperation  in  meeting  immediate  wartime  needs.  Sometimes,   such<br \/>cooperation  seemed  deep  and  genuine  enough  to  provide  a  basis   for<br \/>overcoming suspicion  and  conflict  of  interest.  At  the  Moscow  foreign<br \/>ministers conference in the fall of 1943, the Soviets proved  responsive  to<br \/>U.S. concerns. Reassured that there  would  indeed  be  a  second  front  in<br \/>Europe in 1944, the  Russians  strongly  endorsed  a  postwar  international<br \/>organization to preserve the peace.  More  important,  they  indicated  they<br \/>would join the war against Japan  as  soon  as  Germany  was  defeated,  and<br \/>appeared willing to accept the Chiang  Kaishek  government  in  China  as  a<br \/>major participant in world politics. In some ways, these were  a  series  of<br \/>quid  pro  quos.  In  exchange  for  the  second  front,  Russia  had   made<br \/>concessions on issues of critical  importance  to  Britain  and  the  United<br \/>States. Nevertheless, the results were encouraging. FDR  reported  that  the<br \/>conference had created \"a psychology of ... excellent feeling.\"  Instead  of<br \/>being \"cluttered  with  suspicion,\"  the  discussions  had  occurred  in  an<br \/>atmosphere that \"was amazingly good.\"<br \/>    The same spirit continued at the first meeting  of  Stalin,  Churchill,<br \/>and Roosevelt in Tehran during November and early December  1943.  Committed<br \/>to winning Stalin as a  friend,  FDR  stayed  at  the  Soviet  Embassy,  met<br \/>privately with Stalin,  aligned  himself  with  the  Soviet  leader  against<br \/>Churchill on a number of issues, and even went so far as to taunt  Churchill<br \/>\"about his Britishness, about John Bull,\" in an effort to forge an  informal<br \/>\"anti-imperial\" alliance between the United States and the Soviet  Union.  A<br \/>spirit of cooperation prevailed, with the wartime leaders agreeing that  the<br \/>Big Four would have the power to police  any  postwar  settlements  (clearly<br \/>consistent with Stalin's commitment to a \"sphere  of  influence\"  approach),<br \/>reaffirming plans for a joint military effort against Japan, and  even\u00f3after<br \/>much difficulty\u00f3appearing to find a common approach to the  difficulties  of<br \/>Poland and Eastern Europe. When it was  all  over,  FDR  told  the  American<br \/>people: \"I got along fine with Marshall Stalin ... I  believe  he  is  truly<br \/>representative of the heart and soul of Russia; and I believe  that  we  are<br \/>going to get along very well with  him  and  the  Russian  people\u00f3very  well<br \/>indeed.\" When pressed on what kind  of  a  person  the  Soviet  leader  was,<br \/>Roosevelt responded:<br \/>    \"I would call him something like me, ... a realist.\"<br \/>    The final conference of Stalin, Churchill, and Roosevelt  at  Yalta  in<br \/>February 1945 appeared  at  the  time  to  carry  forward  the  partnership,<br \/>although in retrospect it would become clear that the facade  of  unity  was<br \/>built on a foundation of misperceptions  rooted  in  the  different  values,<br \/>priorities, and political ground rules of the two societies.  Stalin  seemed<br \/>to  recognize  Roosevelt's  need  to  present  postwar  plans\u00f3for   domestic<br \/>political reasons\u00f3as consistent with democratic, universalistic  principles.<br \/>Roosevelt, in turn, appreciated Stalin's need for  friendly  governments  on<br \/>his  borders.  The  three  leaders  agreed  on  concrete  plans  for  Soviet<br \/>participation in the Japanese war, and Stalin reiterated his support  for  a<br \/>coalition government in China with Chiang Kaishek  assuming  a  position  of<br \/>leadership. Although  some  of  Roosevelt's  aides  were  skeptical  of  the<br \/>agreements made, most came back confident that they had succeeded in  laying<br \/>a basis for continued partnership. As  Harry  Hopkins  later  recalled,  \"we<br \/>really believed in our hearts that this was the dawn of the new day  we  had<br \/>all been praying for. The Russians have proved that they can  be  reasonable<br \/>and far-seeing and there wasn't any doubt in the minds of the  president  or<br \/>any of us that we could live with them and get along  with  them  peacefully<br \/>for as far into the future as any of us could imagine.\"<br \/>    In fact, two disquietingly different perceptions of  the  Soviet  Union<br \/>existed as the war drew to an end. Some Washington officials  believed  that<br \/>the mystery of Russia was no mystery  at  all,  simply  a  reflection  of  a<br \/>national  history  in  which  suspicion  of  outsiders  was  natural,  given<br \/>repeated  invasions  from  Western  Europe  and  rampant  hostility   toward<br \/>communism on the part of Western powers. Former Ambassador to Moscow  Joseph<br \/>Davies believed that the way to cut through  that  suspicion  was  to  adopt<br \/>\"the simple approach of assuming that what they  say,  they  mean.\"  On  the<br \/>basis of his personal negotiations  with  the  Russians,  presidential  aide<br \/>Harry Hopkins shared the same confidence.<br \/>    The majority of well-informed Americans, however, endorsed the opposite<br \/>position. It was folly, one  newspaper  correspondent  wrote,  \"to  prettify<br \/>Stalin, whose internal  homicide  record  is  even  longer  than  Hitler's.\"<br \/>Hitler and Stalin were two of the same breed, former  Ambassador  to  Russia<br \/>William Bullitt insisted. Each wanted to spread his power \"to  the  ends  of<br \/>the earth. Stalin, like Hitler, will not stop.  He  can  only  be  stopped.\"<br \/>According to Bullitt, any alternative view implied \"a conversion  of  Stalin<br \/>as striking as the conversion of Saul on  the  road  to  Damascus.\"  Senator<br \/>Robert Taft agreed. It made no sense,  he  insisted,  to  base  U.S.  policy<br \/>toward the Soviet Union \"on the delightful theory that  Mr.  Stalin  in  the<br \/>end will turn out to have an angelic  nature.\"  Drawing  on  the  historical<br \/>precedents of  the  purge  trials  and  traditional  American  hostility  to<br \/>communism, totalitarianism, and Stalin, those who held this  point  of  view<br \/>saw little hope of  compromise.  \"There  is  as  little  difference  between<br \/>communism and fascism,\"  Monsignor  Fulton  J.  Sheen  said,  \"as  there  is<br \/>between burglary and larceny.\" The  only  appropriate  response  was  force.<br \/>Instead of \"leaning over backward to be nice to the descendents  of  Genghis<br \/>Khan,\" General George Patton suggested, \"[we] should dictate to them and  do<br \/>it now and in no uncertain terms.\" Within such a  frame  of  reference,  the<br \/>lessons of history and of ideological incompatibility seemed  to  permit  no<br \/>possibility of compromise.<br \/>    But Roosevelt clearly felt that there was a third way, a path of mutual<br \/>accommodation that would  sustain  and  nourish  the  prospects  of  postwar<br \/>partnership without ignoring the realities of  geopolitics.  The  choice  in<br \/>his mind was clear. \"We shall have to  take  the  responsibility  for  world<br \/>collaboration,\"  he  told  Congress,  \"or  we  shall  have   to   bear   the<br \/>responsibility for another world conflict.\" President Roosevelt was  neither<br \/>politically  naive  nor  stupid.  Even  though  committed  to  the  Atlantic<br \/>Charter's  ideals  of  self-determination  and  territorial  integrity,   he<br \/>recognized the legitimate need of the Soviet Union  for  national  security.<br \/>For him, the process of politics\u00f3informed by thirty-five  years  of  skilled<br \/>practice\u00f3involved  striking  a  deal  that  both  sides  could  live   with.<br \/>Roosevelt acknowledged the brutality, the callousness, the  tyranny  of  the<br \/>Soviet  system.  Indeed,  in  1940  he  had  called  Russia  as  absolute  a<br \/>dictatorship as existed anywhere. But that  did  not  mean  a  solution  was<br \/>impossible, or that one should withdraw from the struggle to  find  a  basis<br \/>for world peace. As he was fond of saying about  negotiations  with  Russia,<br \/>\"it is permitted to walk with the devil until the bridge is crossed.\"<br \/>    The problem was that, as Roosevelt defined the task of finding  a  path<br \/>of  accommodation,  it  rested  solely  on  his  shoulders.  The   president<br \/>possessed an almost  mystical  confidence  in  his  own  capacity  to  break<br \/>through policy  differences  based  on  economic  structures  and  political<br \/>systems, and  to  develop  a  personal  relationship  of  trust  that  would<br \/>transcend impersonal forces of division. \"I know you will not mind my  being<br \/>brutally frank when I tell you,\" he  wrote  Churchill  in  1942,  \"[that]  I<br \/>think I can personally handle Stalin better than either your Foreign  Office<br \/>or my State Department. Stalin hates the guts of all  your  top  people.  He<br \/>thinks he likes  me  better,  and  I  hope  he  will  continue  to  do  so.\"<br \/>Notwithstanding the seeming naivete of such statements,  Roosevelt  appeared<br \/>right, in at least this one regard. The Soviets  did  seem  to  place  their<br \/>faith in him, perhaps thinking that American foreign policy was  as  much  a<br \/>product of one man's decisions as their  own.  Roosevelt  evidently  thought<br \/>the same way,  telling  Bullitt,  in  one  of  their  early  foreign  policy<br \/>discussions, \"it's my responsibility and not yours; and I'm  going  to  play<br \/>my hunch.\"<br \/>    The tragedy, of course, was that the man who perceived  that  fostering<br \/>world peace was his own personal responsibility never  lived  to  carry  out<br \/>his  vision.   Long   in   declining   health,   suffering   from   advanced<br \/>arteriosclerosis and  a  serious  cardiac  problem,  he  had  gone  to  Warm<br \/>Springs, Georgia, to recover from the ordeal of Yalta and the  congressional<br \/>session. On April 12, Roosevelt suffered a massive cerebral  hemorrhage  and<br \/>died. As word spread across the  country,  the  stricken  look  on  people's<br \/>faces told those who had not yet heard the  news  the  awful  dimensions  of<br \/>what had happened. \"He was the only president I ever knew,\" one woman  said.<br \/>In London, Churchill declared that he felt as if he had suffered a  physical<br \/>blow. Stalin greeted the American ambassador in silence,  holding  his  hand<br \/>for thirty seconds. The leader of the world's greatest democracy  would  not<br \/>live to see the victory he had striven so hard to achieve.<br \/><br \/>2.2 The Truman Doctrine.<br \/><br \/>    Few people were less prepared for the challenge of becoming  president.<br \/>Although well-read in history, Truman's experience  in  foreign  policy  was<br \/>minimal. His most famous comment on diplomacy had  been  a  statement  to  a<br \/>reporter in 1941 that \"if we see that Germany is winning [the war] we  ought<br \/>to help Russia, and if Russia is winning we ought to help Germany  and  that<br \/>way let them kill as many as possible, although I don't want to  see  Hitler<br \/>victorious under any circumstances.\"  As  vice-president,  Truman  had  been<br \/>excluded from all foreign policy discussions.  He  knew  nothing  about  the<br \/>Manhattan Project. The new president, Henry  Stimson  noted,  labored  under<br \/>the \"terrific handicap of coming into... an  office  where  the  threads  of<br \/>information were so multitudinous that only long previous familiarity  could<br \/>allow him to control them.\" More to the point were  Truman's  own  comments:<br \/>\"They didn't tell me anything about what was  going  on.  .  .  .  Everybody<br \/>around here that should know anything about foreign affairs is  out.\"  Faced<br \/>with burdens sufficiently awesome to intimidate any individual,  Truman  had<br \/>to act quickly on a succession of national security  questions,  aided  only<br \/>by his native intelligence and a no-nonsense attitude reflected in the  now-<br \/>famous slogan that adorned his desk: \"The Buck Stops Here.\"<br \/>    Truman's dilemma was compounded by the extent to  which  Roosevelt  had<br \/>acted\" as his own secretary of state, sharing with almost no one  his  plans<br \/>for  the  postwar  period.  Roosevelt  placed  little  trust  in  the  State<br \/>Department's bureaucracy, disagreed  with  the  suspicion  exhibited  toward<br \/>Russia by most foreign service officers, and for the most part  appeared  to<br \/>believe that he alone held the secret formula  for  accommodation  with  the<br \/>Soviets. Ultimately that formula presumed the  willingness  of  the  Russian<br \/>leadership \"to give the Government of Poland  [and  other  Eastern  European<br \/>countries] an external appearance of independence [italics added],\"  in  the<br \/>words of Roosevelt's aide Admiral William Leahy. In  the  month  before  his<br \/>death, FDR had  evidently  begun  to  question  that  presumption,  becoming<br \/>increasingly concerned about Soviet behavior. Had  he  lived,  he  may  well<br \/>have adopted a significantly tougher position  toward  Stalin  than  he  had<br \/>taken previously. Yet in his last communication  with  Churchill,  Roosevelt<br \/>was still urging the British prime minister to \"minimize the Soviet  problem<br \/>as much as possible . . . because these problems, in one  form  or  another,<br \/>seem to arrive everyday and  most  of  them  straighten  out.\"  If  Stalin's<br \/>intentions still remained difficult to fathom so too  did  Roosevelt's.  And<br \/>now Truman was in charge, with  neither  Roosevelt's  experience  to  inform<br \/>him, nor a clear sense of Roosevelt's perceptions to offer him direction.<br \/>    Without being able to analyze at leisure all  the  complex  information<br \/>that was relevant, Truman solicited the best advice he could from those  who<br \/>were most knowledgeable about foreign relations. Hurrying back from  Moscow,<br \/>Averell Harriman sought  the  president's  ear,  lobbying  intensively  with<br \/>White  House  and  State  Department  officials  for   his   position   that<br \/>\"irreconcilable differences\" separated  the  Soviet  Union  and  the  United<br \/>States, with the Russians seeking \"the extension of the Soviet  system  with<br \/>secret police, [and]  extinction  of  freedom  of  speech\"  everywhere  they<br \/>could.  Earlier,  Harriman  had  been  well  disposed  toward   the   Soviet<br \/>leadership, enthusiastically endorsing Russian interest in  a  postwar  loan<br \/>and advocating cooperation wherever possible. But now Harriman  perceived  a<br \/>hardening of Soviet attitudes and a more aggressive posture  toward  control<br \/>over Eastern Europe. The Russians had just signed a  separate  peace  treaty<br \/>with the Lublin (pro-Soviet) Poles,  and  after  offering  safe  passage  to<br \/>sixteen pro-Western representatives of  the  Polish  resistance  to  conduct<br \/>discussions about a government of national unity, had suddenly arrested  the<br \/>sixteen  and  held  them  incommunicado.  America's   previous   policy   of<br \/>generosity toward the Soviets had been \"misinterpreted in Moscow,\"  Harriman<br \/>believed, leading the Russians to think they had carte  blanche  to  proceed<br \/>as  they  wished.  In  Harriman's  view,  the  Soviets  were  engaged  in  a<br \/>\"barbarian  invasion  of  Europe.\"  Whether  or  not  Roosevelt  would  have<br \/>accepted Harriman's analysis, to Truman the ambassador's words made  eminent<br \/>sense. The international situation was like a poker game,  Truman  told  one<br \/>friend, and he was not going to let Stalin beat him.<br \/>    Just ten days after taking office, Truman had the opportunity  to  play<br \/>his own hand with Molotov. The Soviet foreign  minister  had  been  sent  by<br \/>Stalin to attend the first U.N.  conference  in  San  Francisco  both  as  a<br \/>gesture to  Roosevelt's  memory  and  as  a  means  of  sizing  up  the  new<br \/>president. In a  private  conversation  with  former  Ambassador  to  Moscow<br \/>Joseph Davies, Molotov expressed his concern that \"full  information\"  about<br \/>Russian-U.S. relations might have died with FDR  and  that  \"differences  of<br \/>interpretation and possible complications  [might]  arise  which  would  not<br \/>occur if Roosevelt lived.\" Himself worried  that  Truman  might  make  \"snap<br \/>judgments,\" Davies urged Molotov to explain fully Soviet policies  vis-a-vis<br \/>Poland and Eastern Europe in order to avoid future conflict.<br \/>     Truman implemented the  same  no-nonsense  approach  when  it  came  to<br \/>decisions about the atomic bomb. Astonishingly, it was not  until  the  day<br \/>after Truman's meeting with Molotov that he was  first  briefed  about  the<br \/>bomb. By that time, $2 billion had  already  been  spent  on  what  Stimson<br \/>called \"the most terrible weapon ever known in human history.\" Immediately,<br \/>Truman grasped the significance of the information. \"I can't tell you  what<br \/>this is,\" he told his secretary, \"but if it works, and pray God it does, it<br \/>will save many American lives.\" Here was a weapon that might not only bring<br \/>the war to a swift  conclusion,  but  also  provide  a  critical  lever  of<br \/>influence in all postwar relations. As James Byrnes told the president, the<br \/>bomb would \"put us in a position to dictate our own terms at the end of the<br \/>war.\"<br \/>     In the years subsequent to  Hiroshima  and  Nagasaki,  historians  have<br \/>debated the wisdom of America's being  the  first  nation  to  use  such  a<br \/>horrible weapon of destruction and have questioned the  motivation  leading<br \/>up to that decision.  Those  who  defend  the  action  point  to  ferocious<br \/>Japanese resistance at Okinawa and Iwo Jima, and  the  likelihood  of  even<br \/>greater loss of life if an invasion of Japan became necessary. Support  for<br \/>such a position comes even from some Japanese. \"If  the  military  had  its<br \/>way,\" one military expert in Japan has said, \"we would  have  fought  until<br \/>all 80 million Japanese were dead. Only the atomic bomb saved  me.  Not  me<br \/>alone, but many Japanese. . . .\" Those morally repulsed by the incineration<br \/>of human flesh that resulted from the A-bomb, on the other hand, doubt  the<br \/>necessity of dropping it, citing  later  U.S.  intelligence  surveys  which<br \/>concluded that \"Japan would have surrendered even if the atomic  bombs  had<br \/>not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and  even  if  no<br \/>invasion had been planned or contemplated.\" Distinguished military  leaders<br \/>such as Dwight Eisenhower later  opposed  use  of  the  bomb.  \"First,  the<br \/>Japanese were ready to surrender, and it wasn't necessary to hit them  with<br \/>that awful thing,\" Eisenhower noted. \"Second, I hated to see our country be<br \/>the first to use such a weapon.\" In light of  such  statements,  some  have<br \/>asked why there was no effort to communicate the  horror  of  the  bomb  to<br \/>America's adversaries  either  through  a  demonstration  explosion  or  an<br \/>ultimatum. Others have questioned whether the bomb would have been used  on<br \/>non-Asians, although the fire-bombing of Dresden claimed more victims  than<br \/>Hiroshima. Perhaps most seriously, some have charged that the bomb was used<br \/>primarily to intimidate the Soviet Union rather than to secure victory over<br \/>Japan.<br \/>    Although  revulsion  at  America's  deployment  of  atomic  weapons  is<br \/>understandable, it now appears that no one in the inner circles of  American<br \/>military and political power ever seriously entertained the  possibility  of<br \/>not using the bomb. As Henry Stimson later  recalled,  \"it  was  our  common<br \/>objective, throughout the war, to be the first to produce an  atomic  weapon<br \/>and use it. ... At no time, from 1941 to 1945, did I ever hear it  suggested<br \/>by the president, or by any other  responsible  member  of  the  government,<br \/>that atomic energy should not be used in  the  war.\"  As  historians  Martin<br \/>Sherwin and Barton Bernstein have shown, the momentum behind  the  Manhattan<br \/>Project was such that no one ever debated the  underlying  assumption  that,<br \/>once perfected, nuclear weapons would be used. General George Marshall  told<br \/>the British, as well as Truman and Stimson, that a land  invasion  of  Japan<br \/>would cause casualties ranging from five hundred thousand  to  more  than  a<br \/>million American troops. Any president who refused to use atomic weapons  in<br \/>the face of such  projections  could  logically  be  accused  of  needlessly<br \/>sacrificing American lives. Moreover, the enemy was  the  same  nation  that<br \/>had unleashed a wanton and brutal attack on Pearl Harbor.  As  Truman  later<br \/>explained to a journalist, \"When you deal with a beast, you  have  to  treat<br \/>him as a beast.\" Although many of the scientists  who  had  seen  the  first<br \/>explosion of the  bomb  in  New  Mexico  were  in  awe  of  its  destructive<br \/>potential and hoped to find some way to avoid its use in war, the idea of  a<br \/>demonstration met with skepticism. Only one or two bombs existed.  What  if,<br \/>in a demonstration, they failed to detonate? Thus, as  horrible  as  it  may<br \/>seem in retrospect, no one ever seriously doubted the necessity of  dropping<br \/>the bomb on Japan once the weapon was perfected.<br \/>    On the Russian issue,  however,  there  now  seems  little  doubt  that<br \/>administration officials thought long and hard about the  bomb's  impact  on<br \/>postwar relations with the Soviet Union. Faced with what seemed  to  be  the<br \/>growing intransigence of the  Soviet  Union  toward  virtually  all  postwar<br \/>questions, Truman and his advisors concluded that possession of  the  weapon<br \/>would give the United States unprecedented leverage to push Russia toward  a<br \/>more accommodating position.  Senator  Edwin  Johnson  stated  the  equation<br \/>crassly, but clearly. \"God Almighty in his  infinite  wisdom,\"  the  Senator<br \/>said, \"[has] dropped the atomic bomb in our lap ... [now]  with  vision  and<br \/>guts and plenty of atomic bombs, . . . [the  U.S.  can]  compel  mankind  to<br \/>adopt a policy of lasting peace ... or be burned to a  crisp.\"  Stating  the<br \/>same argument with more sophistication  prior  to  Hiroshima,  Stimson  told<br \/>Truman that the bomb might well \"force a  favorable  settlement  of  Eastern<br \/>European questions with the Russians.\" Truman agreed. If the weapon  worked,<br \/>he noted, \"I'll certainly have a hammer on those boys.\"<br \/>    Use of the bomb as a diplomatic lever played a pivotal role in Truman's<br \/>preparation for his first meeting with Stalin at  Potsdam.  Not  only  would<br \/>the conference address such critical questions as Eastern  Europe,  Germany,<br \/>and Russia's involvement in the war against Japan;<br \/>    It would also provide a crucial opportunity for America to  drive  home<br \/>with forcefulness its foreign  policy  beliefs  about  future  relationships<br \/>with Russia. Stimson and other advisors urged the president to hold  off  on<br \/>any confrontation with Stalin until the  bomb  was  ready.  \"Over  any  such<br \/>tangled wave of  problems,\"  Stimson  noted,  \"the  bomb's  secret  will  be<br \/>dominant. ... It seems a terrible thing to gamble with such big  stakes  and<br \/>diplomacy without having your master card in  your  hand.\"  Although  Truman<br \/>could not delay the meeting because of a prior  commitment  to  hold  it  in<br \/>July, the president was well  aware  of  the  bomb's  significance.  Already<br \/>noted for his brusque and assertive manner,  Truman  suddenly  took  on  new<br \/>confidence in the midst of the Potsdam negotiations when word  arrived  that<br \/>the bomb had successfully been tested. \"He was  a  changed  man,\"  Churchill<br \/>noted. \"He told the Russians just where they got on and  off  and  generally<br \/>bossed the whole meeting.\" Now, the agenda was changed. Russian  involvement<br \/>in the Japanese war no longer seemed  so  important.  Moreover,  the  United<br \/>States had as a bargaining chip the most  powerful  weapon  ever  unleashed.<br \/>Three days later, Truman walked up to Stalin and casually told him that  the<br \/>United States had \"perfected a very powerful explosive,  which  we're  going<br \/>to use against the Japanese.\" No mention was  made  of  sharing  information<br \/>about the bomb, or of future cooperation to avoid an arms race.<br \/>     Yet the very nature of the new weapon proved a mixed  blessing,  making<br \/>it as much a source of provocation as  of  diplomatic  leverage.  Strategic<br \/>bombing surveys throughout the war had shown that mass bombings,  far  from<br \/>demoralizing the enemy,  often  redoubled  his  commitment  to  resist.  An<br \/>American monopoly on atomic weapons would, in all likelihood, have the same<br \/>effect on the Russians, a proud people. As Stalin told an American diplomat<br \/>later, \"the nuclear weapon is something with which you frighten people [who<br \/>have] weak nerves.\" Yet if the war had proven anything, it was that Russian<br \/>nerves were remarkably strong. Rather than  intimidate  the  Soviets,  Dean<br \/>Acheson pointed out, it was more likely  that  evidence  of  Anglo-American<br \/>cooperation in the Manhattan  Project  would  seem  to  them  \"unanswerable<br \/>evidence of ... a combination against them. ... It  is  impossible  that  a<br \/>government as powerful and power conscious as the Soviet  government  could<br \/>fail to react vigorously to the situation. It must  and  will  exert  every<br \/>energy to restore the loss of power which the situation has produced.\"<br \/>     In fact, news of the bomb's development simply widened the gulf further<br \/>between the superpowers, highlighting the  mistrust  that  existed  between<br \/>them, with sources of antagonism increasing  far  faster  than  efforts  at<br \/>cooperation. On May 11, two days after Germany  surrendered\u00f3and  two  weeks<br \/>after the Truman-Molotov confrontation\u00f3America had abruptly terminated  all<br \/>lend-lease shipments to the Soviet Union that were not directly related  to<br \/>the war against Japan. Washington even ordered ships in the mid-Atlantic to<br \/>turn around. The action  had  been  taken  largely  in  rigid  bureaucratic<br \/>compliance with a new law governing lend-lease just  enacted  by  Congress,<br \/>but Truman had been warned of the need to handle the matter in a  way  that<br \/>was sensitive to Soviet pride. Instead, he  signed  the  termination  order<br \/>without even reading it. Although eventually some shipments  were  resumed,<br \/>the damage had been done. The action was \"brutal,\" Stalin later told  Harry<br \/>Hopkins, implemented in a \"scornful and  abrupt  manner.\"  Had  the  United<br \/>States consulted Russia about  the  issue  \"frankly\"  and  on  \"a  friendly<br \/>basis,\" the Soviet dictator said, \"much could have been done\"; but  if  the<br \/>action \"was designed as pressure on the Russians in order  to  soften  them<br \/>up, then it was a fundamental mistake.\"<br \/>    Russian behavior through these  months,  on  the  other  hand,  offered<br \/>little encouragement for the belief that friendship and  cooperation  ranked<br \/>high on the Soviet agenda. In addition to violating the spirit of the  Yalta<br \/>accords by jailing  the  sixteen  members  of  the  Polish  underground  and<br \/>signing a separate peace treaty with the Lublin Poles,  Stalin  seemed  more<br \/>intent on reviving and validating his reputation as architect of the  purges<br \/>than as one who wished to collaborate  in  spreading  democracy.  He  jailed<br \/>thousands of Russian POWs returning from German prison camps,  as  if  their<br \/>very presence on foreign soil had made them enemies of  the  Russian  state.<br \/>One veteran was imprisoned because he had accepted a present from a  British<br \/>comrade in arms, another for making a critical comment  about  Stalin  in  a<br \/>letter. Even Molotov's wife was sent to Siberia. In the  meantime,  hundreds<br \/>of thousands of minority nationalities in  the  Soviet  Union  were  removed<br \/>forcibly  from  their  homelands   when   they   protested   the   attempted<br \/>obliteration of their ancient identities. Some  Westerners  speculated  that<br \/>Stalin was clinically psychotic,  so  paranoid  about  the  erosion  of  his<br \/>control over the Russian people that he would do anything  to  close  Soviet<br \/>borders and prevent the Russian people from getting a taste of what life  in<br \/>a more open society would be like. Winston Churchill, for example,  wondered<br \/>whether Stalin might not be more  fearful  of  Western  friendship  than  of<br \/>Western hostility, since greater cooperation  with  the  noncommunist  world<br \/>could well lead to a  dismantling  of  the  rigid  totalitarian  control  he<br \/>previously had exerted. For those American diplomats who  were  veterans  of<br \/>service in Moscow before the war, Soviet actions and  attitudes  seemed  all<br \/>too reminiscent of the viselike terror they remembered from the  worst  days<br \/>of the 1930s.<br \/>    When Truman, Stalin, and Churchill met in Potsdam in July  1945,  these<br \/>suspicions were temporarily papered  over,  but  no  progress  was  made  on<br \/>untying the Gordian knots that plagued the wartime alliance.  Truman  sought<br \/>to improve the Allies' postwar settlement with Italy, hoping to  align  that<br \/>country more closely with the West. Stalin  agreed  on  the  condition  that<br \/>changes  favorable  to  the  Soviets  be  approved  for  Romania,   Hungary,<br \/>Bulgaria, and Finland. When Truman replied  that  there  had  been  no  free<br \/>elections in those countries, Stalin retorted that there had  been  none  in<br \/>Italy either. On the issue of general reparations the  three  powers  agreed<br \/>to treat each occupation zone separately.  As  a  result,  one  problem  was<br \/>solved, but in the  process  the  future  division  of  Germany  was  almost<br \/>assured. The tone of  the  discussions  was  clearly  not  friendly.  Truman<br \/>raised the issue of the infamous Katyn massacre, where Soviet troops  killed<br \/>thousands of Polish soldiers and bulldozed them into a  common  grave.  When<br \/>Truman asked Stalin directly what had happened to the Polish  officers,  the<br \/>Soviet dictator responded: \"they went away.\" After Churchill  insisted  that<br \/>an iron fence had come  down  around  British  representatives  in  Romania,<br \/>Stalin dismissed the charges as \"all fairy tales.\" No major  conflicts  were<br \/>resolved, and the key problems of  reparation  amounts,  four-power  control<br \/>over Germany, the future  of  Eastern  Europe,  and  the  structure  of  any<br \/>permanent peace settlement were simply referred to the  Council  of  Foreign<br \/>Ministers. There, not surprisingly, they festered,  while  the  pace  toward<br \/>confrontation accelerated.<br \/>    The first six months of 1946 represented a staccato series of Cold  War<br \/>events,  accompanied  by  increasingly  inflammatory  rhetoric.  In   direct<br \/>violation of a wartime agreement that all allied  forces  would  leave  Iran<br \/>within  six  months  of  the  war's  end,  Russia  continued  its   military<br \/>occupation of the oil-rich region of Azerbaijan. Responding to  the  Iranian<br \/>threat, the United  States  demanded  a  U.N.  condemnation  of  the  Soviet<br \/>presence in Azerbaijan and, when Russian tanks were seen entering the  area,<br \/>prepared for a direct confrontation. \"Now we will give it to them with  both<br \/>barrels,\" James Byrnes declared. Unless the United States  stood  firm,  one<br \/>State Department official warned,  \"Azerbaijan  [will]  prove  to  [be]  the<br \/>first shot fired  in  the  Third  World  War.\"  Faced  with  such  clear-cut<br \/>determination, the Soviets ultimately withdrew from Iran.<br \/>    Yet the tensions between the two powers continued to  mount.  In  early<br \/>February, Stalin issued what Supreme Court Justice  William  Douglas  called<br \/>the \"Declaration of World War III,\" insisting that  war  was  inevitable  as<br \/>long as capitalism survived and calling for massive  sacrifice  at  home.  A<br \/>month later Winston Churchill\u00f3with Truman at his side\u00f3responded  at  Fulton,<br \/>Missouri, declaring that \"from Stetting in the  Baltic  to  Trieste  in  the<br \/>Adriatic, an iron curtain has descended across  the  [European]  continent.\"<br \/>Claiming that \"God has willed\" the United  States  and  Britain  to  hold  a<br \/>monopoly over atomic weapons, Churchill called for a \"fraternal  association<br \/>of the English speaking people\" against their common foes.  Although  Truman<br \/>made no public statement, privately he had  told  Byrnes  in  January:  \"I'm<br \/>tired of babying the Soviets. They [must be] faced with  an  iron  fist  and<br \/>strong language. . .  .  Only  one  language  do  they  understand\u00f3how  many<br \/>divisions have you?\" Stalin,  meanwhile,  charged  Britain  and  the  United<br \/>States with repressing democratic insurgents in Greece,  declaring  that  it<br \/>was the western Allies, not the Soviet Union, that endangered  world  peace.<br \/>\"When Mr. Churchill calls for a new war,\" Molotov told a foreign  ministers'<br \/>meeting  in  May,  \"and  makes  militant  speeches  on  two  continents,  he<br \/>represents the worst of twentieth-century imperialism.\"<br \/>    During the spring and summer, clashes occurred  on  virtually  all  the<br \/>major issues of the Cold War. After having told the Soviet  Union  that  the<br \/>State Department had \"lost\" its $6 billion  loan  request  made  in  January<br \/>1945, the United States offered a $1 billion loan in the spring of  1946  as<br \/>long as the Soviet Union agreed to  join  the  World  Bank  and  accept  the<br \/>credit procedures and controls of that body. Not surprisingly, the  Russians<br \/>refused,  announcing  instead  a  new  five-year  plan  that  would  promote<br \/>economic self-sufficiency. Almost paranoid about keeping Westerners  out  of<br \/>Russia, Stalin had evidently concluded that participation in  a  Western-run<br \/>financial consortium was too serious a threat to his  own  total  authority.<br \/>\"Control of their border areas,\" the historian  Walter  LaFeber  has  noted,<br \/>\"was worth more to  the  Russians  than  a  billion,  or  even  ten  billion<br \/>dollars.\" A year earlier the response might have been  different.  But  1946<br \/>was  a  \"year  of  cement,\"  with  little  if  any  willingness  to   accept<br \/>flexibility.  In  Germany,  meanwhile,  the  Russians  rejected  a   Western<br \/>proposal for unifying the country and instead determined to build  up  their<br \/>own zone. The United States reciprocated by declaring  it  would  no  longer<br \/>cooperate with Russia by removing reparations from the  west  to  the  east.<br \/>The actions guaranteed a permanent  split  of  Germany  and  coincided  with<br \/>American plans to rebuild the West German economy.<br \/>    The culminating  breakdown  of  U.S.-Soviet  relations  came  over  the<br \/>failure to secure agreement on the international control of  atomic  energy.<br \/>After Potsdam, some American policymakers had urged the president to take  a<br \/>new approach on sharing such control with the Soviet Union. The  atom  bomb,<br \/>Henry Stimson warned Truman in the fall of 1945,  would  dominate  America's<br \/>relations with Russia. \"If we fail to approach  them  now  and  continue  to<br \/>negotiate with . . . this weapon rather ostentatiously  on  our  hip,  their<br \/>suspicions and their distrust of our purposes and  motives  will  increase.\"<br \/>Echoing the same them, Dr. Harold Urey, a  leading  atomic  scientist,  told<br \/>the Senate that by making and storing atomic  weapons,  \"we  are  guilty  of<br \/>beginning the arms race.\" Furthermore, there was an  inherent  problem  with<br \/>the \"gun on our hip\" approach. As the scientist Vannevar Bush noted,  \"there<br \/>is no powder in the gun, [nor] could  [it]  be  drawn,\"  unless  the  United<br \/>States were willing to deploy the  A-bomb  to  settle  diplomatic  disputes.<br \/>Recognizing this, Truman set Dean Acheson and David Lilienthal  to  work  in<br \/>the winter of 1945\u00f346 to prepare a plan for international control.<br \/>    But by the time the American proposal had been completed, much  of  the<br \/>damage in Soviet-American relations seemed irreparable. Although the  Truman<br \/>plan envisioned ultimate sharing  of  international  control,  it  left  the<br \/>United States with an atomic monopoly\u00f3and in a dominant  position\u00f3until  the<br \/>very last stage. The Soviets would have no veto power  over  inspections  or<br \/>sanctions, and even at the end of  the  process,  the  United  States  would<br \/>control the majority of votes within the  body  responsible  for  developing<br \/>peaceful uses of atomic energy inside the Soviet Union.  When  the  Russians<br \/>asked to negotiate about the specifics of the  plan,  they  were  told  they<br \/>must either accept the entire package or nothing at all. In the  context  of<br \/>Soviet-American relations in 1946, the result was predictable\u00f3the  genie  of<br \/>the atomic arms race would remain outside the bottle.<br \/>    Not  all  influential  Americans   were   \"pleased   by   the   growing<br \/>polarization.  Averell  Harriman,  who  a  year  earlier  had  been  in  the<br \/>forefront of those demanding a hard-line position from  Truman,  now  pulled<br \/>back somewhat. \"We must recognize that we occupy  the  same  planet  as  the<br \/>Russians,\" he said, \"and whether we like it or  not,  disagreeable  as  they<br \/>may be, we have to find some method of getting along.\" The columnist  Walter<br \/>Lippmann, deeply concerned about the direction of events,  wondered  whether<br \/>the  inexperience  and  personal  predilections   of   some   of   America's<br \/>negotiators might not be part  of  the  problem.  Nor  were  all  the  signs<br \/>negative. After his initial confrontation with Molotov, Truman  appeared  to<br \/>have second thoughts, sending Harry Hopkins to Moscow  to  attempt  to  find<br \/>some common ground with Stalin on Poland and Eastern Europe.  The  Russians,<br \/>in turn, had not been totally aggressive. They withdrew from  Hungary  after<br \/>free  elections  in  that  country  had  led  to  the  establishment  of   a<br \/>noncommunist  regime.  Czechoslovakia  was  also  governed  by  a  coalition<br \/>government  with  a  Western-style  parliament.  The  British,   at   least,<br \/>announced themselves satisfied with the election process in  Bulgaria.  Even<br \/>in Romania, some concessions were made to include  elements  more  favorably<br \/>disposed to the  West.  The  Russians  finally  backed  down  in  Iran\u00f3under<br \/>considerable pressure\u00f3and would do so again in a dispute  over  the  Turkish<br \/>straits in the late summer of 1946.<br \/>    Still, the events of 1946 had the cumulative effect of creating an aura<br \/>of  inevitability  about   bipolar   confrontation   in   the   world.   The<br \/>preponderance of energy in each country seemed  committed  to  the  side  of<br \/>suspicion and  hostility  rather  than  mutual  accommodation.  If  Stalin's<br \/>February prediction of  inevitable  war  between  capitalism  and  communism<br \/>embodied in its purest  form  Russia's  jaundiced  perception  of  relations<br \/>between the two  countries,  an  eight-thousand-word  telegram  from  George<br \/>Kennan to the State Department articulated the dominant frame  of  reference<br \/>within which Soviet actions would be perceived by  U.S.  officials.  Perhaps<br \/>the preeminent expert on the Soviets, and a veteran of service in Moscow  in<br \/>the thirties as well as the forties, Kennan had been  asked  to  prepare  an<br \/>analysis of  Stalin's  speech.  Responding  in  words  intended  to  command<br \/>attention  to  Washington,  Kennan  declared  that  the  United  States  was<br \/>confronted with a \"political force committed fanatically to the belief  that<br \/>[with the] United States there can be no permanent modus  vivendi,  that  it<br \/>is desirable and necessary that the  internal  harmony  of  our  society  be<br \/>broken if Soviet power is to be secure.\" According' to Kennan, the  Russians<br \/>truly believed the world to  be  divided  permanently  into  capitalist  and<br \/>socialist camps, with the Soviet Union dedicated to  \"ever  new  heights  of<br \/>military power\" even  as  it  sought  to  subvert  its  enemies  through  an<br \/>\"underground operating directorate of world  communism.\"  The  analysis  was<br \/>frightening, confirming the fears of those  most  disturbed  by  the  Soviet<br \/>system's denial of human rights and hardline posture toward Western  demands<br \/>for free elections and open borders in occupied Europe.<br \/>    Almost immediately, the Kennan telegram became required reading for the<br \/>entire diplomatic and military establishment in Washington.<br \/>2.3 The Marshall Plan.<br \/>    The chief virtue of the plan Marshall and his aides were  Grafting  was<br \/>its fusion of these political  and  economic  concerns.  As  Truman  told  a<br \/>Baylor University audience in March 1947, \"peace, freedom, and  world  trade<br \/>are indivisible. . . . We must not go through the '3os  again.\"  Since  free<br \/>enterprise was seen as the foundation for democracy and prosperity,  helping<br \/>European  economies  would  both  assure  friendly  governments  abroad  and<br \/>additional jobs at home. To accomplish that  ^  goal,  however,  the  United<br \/>States would need to give economic aid  directly  rather  than  through  the<br \/>United Nations, since only under those circumstances would American  control<br \/>be assured. Ideally, the Marshall Plan would provide an economic arm to  the<br \/>political strategy embodied \u00f3in the Truman Doctrine. Moreover, if  presented<br \/>as a program in which even Eastern European countries could participate,  it<br \/>would  provide,  at  last  potentially,  a  means  of  including  pro-Soviet<br \/>countries and breaking  Stalin's  political  and  economic  domination  over<br \/>Eastern Europe.<br \/>    On that basis, Marshall dramatically announced his proposal at  Harvard<br \/>University's commencement on June 5,  1947.  \"Our  policy  is  directed  not<br \/>against any country  or  doctrine,\"  Marshall  said,  \"but  against  hunger,<br \/>poverty, desperation, and chaos. Its purpose should be revival of a  working<br \/>economy. Any government that is willing to assist in the  task  of  recovery<br \/>will  find  full  cooperation  ...  on  the  part  of  the   United   States<br \/>government.\" Responding, French  Foreign  Minister  George  Bidault  invited<br \/>officials throughout  Europe,  including  the  Soviet  Union,  to  attend  a<br \/>conference in Paris to draw up a plan of action. Poland  and  Czechoslovakia<br \/>expressed interest, and Molotov  himself  came  to  Paris  with  eighty-nine<br \/>aides.<br \/>    Rather than inaugurate a new era of cooperation, however, the next  few<br \/>days simply reaffirmed how far polarization had  already  extended.  Molotov<br \/>urged that each country present its own needs independently  to  the  United<br \/>States. Western European countries, on the other  hand,  insisted  that  all<br \/>the countries cooperate in a  joint  proposal  for  American  consideration.<br \/>Since the entire concept presumed extensive  sharing  of  economic  data  on<br \/>each country's resources and liabilities, as well as  Western  control  over<br \/>how the aid would be  expended,  the  Soviets  angrily  walked  out  of  the<br \/>deliberations. In fact, the United States never believed that  the  Russians<br \/>would participate in the project, knowing that it was a violation  of  every<br \/>Soviet precept to open their economic records to examination and control  by<br \/>capitalist outsiders. Furthermore, U.S. strategy was  premised  on  a  major<br \/>rebuilding  of  German  industry\u00f3something  profoundly  threatening  to  the<br \/>Russians. Ideally, Americans viewed a thriving  Germany  as  the  foundation<br \/>for revitalizing the  economies  of  all  Western  European  countries,  and<br \/>providing the key to  prosperity  on  both  sides  of  the  Atlantic.  To  a<br \/>remarkable extent, that was precisely  the  result  of  the  Marshall  Plan.<br \/>Understandably, such a prospect frightened the Soviets, but the  consequence<br \/>was to further the split between  East  and  West,  and  in  particular,  to<br \/>undercut the possibility of promoting  further  cooperation  with  countries<br \/>like Hungary and Czechoslovakia.<br \/>    In the weeks and months after the Russians left Paris, the final pieces<br \/>of the Cold War were set in place. Shortly after the Soviet  departure  from<br \/>Paris the Russians announced the creation of a  series  of  bilateral  trade<br \/>agreements  called  the  \"Molotov  Plan,\"  designed  to  link  Eastern  bloc<br \/>countries and provide a Soviet answer to the Marshall Plan. Within the  same<br \/>week the Russians created a new Communist  Information  Bureau  (Cominform),<br \/>including  representatives  from  the  major  Western   European   communist<br \/>parties, to serve as a vehicle for imposing Stalinist control on anyone  who<br \/>might consider deviating from the party  line.  Speaking  at  the  Cominform<br \/>meeting in August, Andre Zhdanov issued the Soviet Union's rebuttal  to  the<br \/>Truman  Doctrine.  The  United  States,  he  charged,  was  organizing   the<br \/>countries of the Near East,  Western  Europe,  and  South  America  into  an<br \/>alliance committed to the destruction of communism. Now, he said,  the  \"new<br \/>democracies\"   of   Eastern   Europe\u00f3plus   their   allies   in   developing<br \/>countries\u00f3must form a counter bloc. The world would thus be made up of  \"two<br \/>camps,\"  each  ideologically,  politically,  and,  to  a   growing   extent,<br \/>militarily defined by its opposition to the other.<br \/>    To assure that no one misunderstood, Russia moved quickly to  impose  a<br \/>steel-like grip on Eastern Europe. In August 1947  the  Soviets  purged  all<br \/>left-wing, anticommunist leaders from Hungary and then rigged  elections  to<br \/>assure a pro-Soviet regime  there.  Six  months  later,  in  February  1948,<br \/>Stalin moved on Czechoslovakia  as  well,  insisting  on  the  abolition  of<br \/>independent parties and sending Soviet troops to the Czech  border  to  back<br \/>up Soviet demands  for  an  all  new  communist  government.  After  Foreign<br \/>Minister Jan Masaryk either jumped or was pushed from a  window  in  Prague,<br \/>the last vestige of resistance faded. \"We are [now] faced with  exactly  the<br \/>same situation . . . Britain and  France  faced  in  1938-39  with  Hitler,\"<br \/>Truman wrote. The Czech coup coincided with  overwhelming  approval  of  the<br \/>Marshall Plan by the  American  Congress.  Two  weeks  later,  on  March  5,<br \/>General Lucius Clay sent his telegram from Germany warning of  imminent  war<br \/>with Russia. Shortly thereafter, Truman  called  on  Congress  to  implement<br \/>Universal Military Training for all Americans. (The plan was  never  put  in<br \/>place.) By the end of the month Russia had instituted a  year-long  blockade<br \/>of all supplies to Berlin in protest against the West's  decision  to  unify<br \/>her occupation zones in Germany and institute currency  reform.  Before  the<br \/>end of spring, the Brussels Pact had brought together the  major  powers  of<br \/>Western Europe in a mutual defense pact that a year later would provide  the<br \/>basis for NATO. If the Truman Doctrine, in Bernard Baruch's words, had  been<br \/>\"a declaration of ideological or religious  war,\"  the  Marshall  Plan,  the<br \/>Molotov Plan, and subsequent developments in Eastern Europe represented  the<br \/>economic,  political,  and  military  demarcations  that  would  define  the<br \/>terrain on which the war would be fought. The Cold War had begun.<br \/><br \/>Chapter 3: The Role of Cold War in American History and Diplomacy.<br \/><br \/>    3.1 Declaration of the Cold War.<br \/><br \/>    In late February 1947,  a  British  official  journeyed  to  the  State<br \/>Department to inform Dean Acheson that  the  crushing  burden  of  Britain's<br \/>economic crisis prevented her from any longer accepting  responsibility  for<br \/>the economic and military stability  of  Greece  and  Turkey.  The  message,<br \/>Secretary of  State  George  Marshall  noted,  \"was  tantamount  to  British<br \/>abdication from the Middle East,  with  obvious  implications  as  to  their<br \/>successor.\" Conceivably, America could have  responded  quietly,  continuing<br \/>the steady stream of financial support already going into the area.  Despite<br \/>aid to the insurgents from Yugoslavia and Bulgaria,  the  war  going  on  in<br \/>Greece was primarily a civil struggle, with the British side viewed by  many<br \/>as  reactionary  in  its  politics.  But  instead,   Truman   administration<br \/>officials seized the moment as the occasion for a  dramatic  new  commitment<br \/>to fight communism. In their view, Greece and Turkey  could  well  hold  the<br \/>key to the future of Europe itself. Hence they decided to ask  Congress  for<br \/>$400  million  in  military  and  economic  aid.   In   the   process,   the<br \/>administration publicly defined postwar diplomacy, for the first time, as  a<br \/>universal conflict between the forces of good and the forces of evil.<br \/>    Truman portrayed the issue as he did, at least  in  part,  because  his<br \/>aides had failed to convince Congressmen about the merits  of  the  case  on<br \/>grounds of self-interest alone. Americans were concerned  about  the  Middle<br \/>East for many reasons\u00f3preservation  of  political  stability,  guarantee  of<br \/>access to mineral resources, a  need  to  assure  a  prosperous  market  for<br \/>American  goods.  Early  drafts  of  speeches  on  the  issue  had   focused<br \/>specifically on economic questions. America could not  afford,  one  advisor<br \/>noted, to allow Greece and similar areas to \"spiral downward  into  economic<br \/>anarchy.\" But such arguments, another advisor noted, \"made the  whole  thing<br \/>sound like an  investment  prospectus.\"  Indeed,  when  Secretary  of  State<br \/>Marshall used such arguments of self-interest with  Congressmen,  his  words<br \/>fell on deaf ears, particularly given the commitment of Republicans  to  cut<br \/>government spending to the  bone.  It  was  at  that  moment.  Dean  Acheson<br \/>recalled, that \"in desperation  I  whispered  to  [Marshall]  a  request  to<br \/>speak. This was my crisis. For a week I had nurtured it.\"<br \/>    When Acheson took the floor, he transformed the atmosphere in the room.<br \/>The issue, he declared,  was  the  effort  by  Russian  communism  to  seize<br \/>dominance over three continents, and encircle and  capture  Western  Europe.<br \/>\"Like apples in a barrel infected by the corruption of one rotten  one,  the<br \/>corruption of Greece would infect Iran and alter  the  Middle  East  .  .  .<br \/>Africa .  .  .  Italy  and  France.\"  The  struggle  was  ultimate,  Acheson<br \/>concluded. \"Not since Rome and Carthage has there been such  a  polarization<br \/>of power on this earth. . . . We and we alone are in  a  position  to  break<br \/>up\" the Soviet quest for world domination. Suddenly, the Congressmen sat  up<br \/>and  took  notice.  That  argument,  Senator  Arthur  Vandenberg  told   the<br \/>president, would be successful. If Truman wanted his program of  aid  to  be<br \/>approved, he would\u00f3like Acheson\u00f3have to \"scare hell\"  out  of  the  American<br \/>people.<br \/>    By the time Truman came before Congress on March 12, the issue  was  no<br \/>longer whether the United States should extend economic aid  to  Greece  and<br \/>Turkey on a basis of self-interest, but rather whether America  was  willing<br \/>to sanction the spread of tyrannical  communism  everywhere  in  the  world.<br \/>Facing the same dilemma Roosevelt had confronted during  the  1930S  in  his<br \/>effort to get Americans ready for  war,  Truman  sensed  that  only  if  the<br \/>issues were posed as directly related  to  the  nation's  fundamental  moral<br \/>concern\u00f3not just self-interest\u00f3 would there  be  a  possibility  of  winning<br \/>political support. Hence, as Truman defined the question, the world  had  to<br \/>choose \"between alternative ways of life.\" One option was \"free,\"  based  on<br \/>\"representative  government,  free  elections,  guarantees   of   individual<br \/>liberty,  and  freedom  of  speech  and  religion.\"  The  other  option  was<br \/>\"tyranny,\" based on \"terror and oppression, a controlled press and radio,  .<br \/>. . and a suppression of personal freedoms.\" Given a choice between  freedom<br \/>and totalitarianism, Truman concluded, \"it must be the policy of the  United<br \/>States to support free peoples who are resisting  attempted  subjugation  by<br \/>armed minorities.\"<br \/>      Drawing on the \"worst case\" scenario implicit  in  Kennan's  telegram,<br \/> Truman, in effect, had presented the issue of American-Soviet relations as<br \/> one of pure ideological and moral conflict. There were some who criticized<br \/> him. Senator Robert Taft, for example, wondered  whether,  if  the  United<br \/> States took responsibility for Greece and Turkey, Americans  could  object<br \/> to the Russians continuing their domination over Eastern Europe. Secretary<br \/> of State Marshall was disturbed at \"the extent to which the  anticommunist<br \/> element of the speech was stressed.\" And George Kennan, concerned over how<br \/> his views had been used, protested against the president's strident  tone.<br \/> But Truman and Acheson had understood the importance of defining the issue<br \/> on grounds of patriotism and moral principle. If the heart of the question<br \/> was the universal struggle of freedom against tryanny\u00f3not taking sides  in<br \/> a civil war\u00f3 who could object to what the  government  proposed?  It  was,<br \/> Senator Arthur Vandenberg noted, \"almost like a presidential request for a<br \/> declaration of war. . . . There is precious little we can  do  except  say<br \/> yes.\" By mid-May, Truman's aid package had passed Congress overwhelmingly.<br \/>    On the same day the Truman Doctrine  received  final  approval,  George<br \/>Marshall and his aides at  the  State  Department  were  busy  shaping  what<br \/>Truman would call the second half of the same walnut\u00f3 the Marshall  Plan  of<br \/>massive  economic  support  to  rebuild  Western  Europe.  Britain,  France,<br \/>Germany, Italy, Belgium\u00f3all were devastated by the war, their  cities  lying<br \/>in rubble, their industrial base gutted. It was difficult to  know  if  they<br \/>could survive, yet the lessons of  World  War  I  suggested  that  political<br \/>democracy and stability depended on the presence of a healthy  and  thriving<br \/>economic order. Already American officials  were  concerned  that  Italy\u00f3and<br \/>perhaps France\u00f3would succumb to the political appeal  of  native  communists<br \/>and become victims of what William  Bullitt  had  called  the  \"red  amoeba\"<br \/>spreading  all  across  Europe.  Furthermore,  America's  selfish   economic<br \/>interests demanded strong trading partners in Western Europe. \"No nation  in<br \/>modern times,\" Assistant Secretary of State  Will  Clayton  had  said,  \"can<br \/>long expect to enjoy a rising standard of living without  increased  foreign<br \/>trade.\" America imported from Europe only half  of  what  it  exported,  and<br \/>Western Europe was quickly running  out  of  dollars  to  pay  for  American<br \/>goods. If some form of massive support to reconstruct Europe's economy  were<br \/>not developed, economic decay there would spread,  unemployment  in  America<br \/>would increase, and political  instability  could  well  lead  to  communist<br \/>takeovers of hitherto \"friendly\" counties.<br \/>3.2 Cold War Issues.<br \/><br \/>    Although historians have debated for years the cause of the  Cold  War,<br \/>virtually everyone agrees that it developed around five major issues:<br \/>    Poland,  the  structure  of  governments  in  other  Eastern   European<br \/>countries, the future of Germany, economic  reconstruction  of  Europe,  and<br \/>international policies toward the atomic bomb  and  atomic  energy.  All  of<br \/>these intersected, so that within a few months, it became almost  impossible<br \/>to separate one from the other as they interacted to shape the emergence  of<br \/>a bipolar world. Each issue in its own way  also  reflected  the  underlying<br \/>confusion   and   conflict   surrounding   the   competing   doctrines    of<br \/>\"universalist\" versus \"sphere-of-influence\" diplomacy. Examination of  these<br \/>fundamental questions is essential if we are to comprehend how and  why  the<br \/>tragedy of the Cold War evolved  during  the  three  years  after  Germany's<br \/>defeat.<br \/>    Poland constituted the most intractable  and  profound  dilemma  facing<br \/>Soviet-U.S. relations. As Secretary of State Edward Stettinius  observed  in<br \/>1945, Poland was \"the big apple  in  the  barrel.\"  Unfortunately,  it  also<br \/>symbolized, for both sides, everything that the war  had  been  fought  for.<br \/>From a Soviet perspective, Poland represented the quintessence  of  Russia's<br \/>national security needs. On  three  occasions,  Poland  had  served  as  the<br \/>avenue for devastating invasions of Russian territory.  It  was  imperative,<br \/>given Russian history, that Poland be governed by  a  regime  supportive  of<br \/>the Soviet Union. But Poland also represented, both in fact and  in  symbol,<br \/>everything for which the Western Allies had fought. Britain and  France  had<br \/>declared war on Germany in September 1939 when Hitler invaded  Poland,  thus<br \/>honoring their mutual defense pact with that victimized country.  It  seemed<br \/>unthinkable that one could wage war for six years and end  up  with  another<br \/>totalitarian country in control of Poland. Surely if  the  Atlantic  Charter<br \/>signified anything, it required defending the right of the Polish people  to<br \/>determine their own destiny.  The  presence  of  7  million  Polish-American<br \/>voters offered a constant, if unnecessary,  reminder  that  such  issues  of<br \/>self-determination could not be dismissed lightly.  Thus,  the  first  issue<br \/>confronting the Allies in building a postwar world  would  also  be  one  on<br \/>which compromise was  virtually  impossible,  at  least  without  incredible<br \/>diplomatic delicacy, political subtlety, and profound appreciation, by  each<br \/>ally, of the other's needs and priorities.<br \/>    Roosevelt appears to have understood the tortuous path he would have to<br \/>travel in order to find a peaceful resolution of  the  conflict.  Given  his<br \/>own commitment to the Atlantic Charter, rooted in  both  domestic  political<br \/>reasons and personal conviction, he  recognized  the  need  to  advocate  an<br \/>independent and democratic government for the Polish  people.  \"Poland  must<br \/>be reconstituted a great nation,\"  he  told  the  country  during  the  1944<br \/>election. Yet the president also repeatedly acknowledged that  the  Russians<br \/>must have a \"friendly\" government in Warsaw.  Somehow,  Roosevelt  hoped  to<br \/>find a way to subordinate these two  conflicting  positions  to  the  higher<br \/>priority of postwar peace. \"The President,\"  Harry  Hopkins  said  in  1943,<br \/>\"did not intend to go to the Peace Conference and  bargain  with  Poland  or<br \/>the other small states; as far as Poland is concerned, the  important  thing<br \/>[was] to set it up in a way that [would] help  maintain  the  peace  of  the<br \/>world.\"<br \/>    The issue was first joined at the Tehran conference.  There,  Churchill<br \/>and Roosevelt endorsed Stalin's position that Poland's eastern  border,  for<br \/>security reasons, should be moved to the  west.  As  Roosevelt  had  earlier<br \/>explained to the ambassador from the Polish government-in-exile  in  London,<br \/>it was folly to expect the United States and Britain \"to declare war on  Joe<br \/>Stalin over a boundary dispute.\" On the other hand, Roosevelt  urged  Stalin<br \/>to be flexible, citing his  own  need  for  the  Polish  vote  in  the  1944<br \/>presidential  election  and  the  importance  of  establishing   cooperation<br \/>between the London Poles and  the  Lublin  government-in-exile  situated  in<br \/>Moscow. Roosevelt had been willing to make a major  concession  to  Russia's<br \/>security  needs  by  accepting  the  Soviet  definition  of   Poland's   new<br \/>boundaries. But he also expected some consideration  of  his  own  political<br \/>dilemma and of the principles of the Atlantic Charter.<br \/>    Such consideration appeared to be forthcoming in  the  summer  of  1944<br \/>when  Stalin  agreed  to  meet  the  prime  minister  of  the  London-Polish<br \/>government and \"to mediate\" between the two  opposing  governments-in-exile.<br \/>But hopes for such a  compromise  were  quickly  crushed  as  Soviet  troops<br \/>failed to  aid  the  Warsaw  Polish  resistance  when  it  rose  in  massive<br \/>rebellion against German occupation forces  in  hopes  of  linking  up  with<br \/>advancing Soviet forces. The Warsaw Poles  generally  supported  the  London<br \/>government-in-exile. As Red Army troops moved to just six miles  outside  of<br \/>Warsaw, the Warsaw Poles rose en masse against their  Nazi  oppressors.  Yet<br \/>when they did so, the Soviets callously rejected all  pleas  for  help.  For<br \/>eight weeks they even refused to permit American planes to  land  on  Soviet<br \/>soil after airlifting supplies to the  beleaguered  Warsaw  rebels.  By  the<br \/>time the rebellion ended, 250,000 people had  become  casualties,  with  the<br \/>backbone of the pro-London resistance movement  brutally  crushed.  Although<br \/>some Americans, then and  later,  accepted  Soviet  claims  that  logistical<br \/>problems  had  prevented  any  assistance  being  offered,  most   Americans<br \/>endorsed the more cynical conclusion that Stalin had found a convenient  way<br \/>to  annihilate  a  large  part  of  his  Polish  opposition  and  facilitate<br \/>acquisition of a pro-Soviet regime. As Ambassador  Averell  Harriman  cabled<br \/>at  the  time,  Russian  actions   were   based   on   \"ruthless   political<br \/>considerations.\"<br \/>    By the time of the Yalta conference,  the  Red  Army  occupied  Poland,<br \/>leaving Roosevelt little room to maneuver. When one American diplomat  urged<br \/>the president to force Russia to agree  to  Polish  independence,  Roosevelt<br \/>responded: \"Do you want me to go to war with  Russia?\"  With  Stalin  having<br \/>already granted diplomatic  recognition  to  the  Lublin  regime,  Roosevelt<br \/>could only hope that the Soviets would accept  enough  modification  of  the<br \/>status quo to provide the appearance of  representative  democracy.  Spheres<br \/>of  influence  were  a  reality,  FDR  told  seven  senators,  because  \"the<br \/>occupying forces [have]  the  power  in  the  areas  where  their  arms  are<br \/>present.\" All America could do was to use her influence \"to  ameliorate  the<br \/>situation.\"<br \/>    Nevertheless, Roosevelt played what cards  he  had  with  skill.  \"Most<br \/>Poles,\" he told Stalin, \"want to save face. ... It would make it easier  for<br \/>me at home if the Soviet government  could  give  something  to  Poland.\"  A<br \/>government of national unity, Roosevelt declared,  would  facilitate  public<br \/>acceptance in the United States of full American  participation  in  postwar<br \/>arrangements. \"Our people at home look with a  critical  eye  on  what  they<br \/>consider a disagreement between us. ... They, in  effect,  say  that  if  we<br \/>cannot get a meeting of minds now . . . how can we get an  understanding  on<br \/>even more vital things in the future?\" Although Stalin's immediate  response<br \/>was to declare that Poland was \"not only a question  of  honor  for  Russia,<br \/>but one of life and death,\" he finally agreed that  some  reorganization  of<br \/>the Lublin regime could take place to ensure broader representation  of  all<br \/>Poles.<br \/>    In the end, the Big Three papered over their differences  at  Yalta  by<br \/>agreeing to a Declaration on Liberated Europe that committed the  Allies  to<br \/>help liberated peoples resolve their problems through democratic  means  and<br \/>advocated the holding of free elections. Although Roosevelt's  aide  Admiral<br \/>William Leahy told him that the report on Poland was \"so  elastic  that  the<br \/>Russians can stretch it all the way from Yalta to  Washington  without  ever<br \/>technically breaking it,\" Roosevelt believed that he had done  the  best  he<br \/>could  under  the  circumstances.  From   the   beginning,   Roosevelt   had<br \/>recognized, on a de facto basis at least, that Poland was part  of  Russia's<br \/>sphere of influence and must remain so.  He  could  only  hope  that  Stalin<br \/>would now show equal recognition of the U.S. need to have  concessions  that<br \/>would give the appearance, at least, of implementing the Atlantic Charter.<br \/>     The same basic  dilemmas,  of  course,  occurred  with  regard  to  the<br \/>structure of postwar governments in all of  Eastern  Europe.  As  early  as<br \/>1943, Roosevelt had made clear to Stalin at Tehran that he was  willing  to<br \/>have the Baltic states controlled by the Soviets.  His  only  request,  the<br \/>president told Stalin, was for some public commitment to  future  elections<br \/>in order to satisfy his constituents at home for whom \"the big issues . . .<br \/>would be the question of referendum and the right  of  self-determination.\"<br \/>The exchange with Stalin accurately  reflected  Roosevelt's  position  over<br \/>time.<br \/>     Significantly, Roosevelt even sanctioned Churchill's efforts to  divide<br \/>Europe into spheres of  influence.  With  Roosevelt's  approval,  Churchill<br \/>journeyed to Moscow in the fall of 1944.  Sitting  across  the  table  from<br \/>Stalin, Churchill proposed that Russia exercise 90 percent predominance  in<br \/>Romania, 75 percent in Bulgaria, and  50  percent  control,  together  with<br \/>Britain, in Yugoslavia and Hungary,  while  the  United  States  and  Great<br \/>Britain would exercise 90 percent predominance in  Greece.  After  extended<br \/>discussion and some hard bargaining, the deal was  made.  (Poland  was  not<br \/>even  included  in  Churchill's  percentages,  suggesting   that   he   was<br \/>acknowledging Soviet control there.) At the time, Churchill suggested  that<br \/>the arrangements be expressed \"in diplomatic terms  [without  use  of]  the<br \/>phrase 'dividing into spheres,' because the Americans  might  be  shocked.\"<br \/>But in fact, as Robert Daliek has shown in his superb study of  Roosevelt's<br \/>diplomacy, the American president accepted  the  arrangement.  \"I  am  most<br \/>pleased to know,\" FDR wrote Churchill, \"you are reaching a meeting of  your<br \/>two minds as to international policies.\" To Harriman he cabled: \"My  active<br \/>interest at the present time in the Balkan area is that such steps  as  are<br \/>practicable should be taken to insure against the Balkans getting us into a<br \/>future international war.\" At no time did Roosevelt  protest  the  British-<br \/>Soviet agreement.<br \/>     In the case of Eastern Europe generally, even more so than  in  Poland,<br \/>it seemed clear that Roosevelt, on a de facto basis, was prepared  to  live<br \/>with spheres-of-influence diplomacy. Nevertheless, he  remained  constantly<br \/>sensitive to the political  peril  he  faced  at  home  on  the  issue.  As<br \/>Congressman John Dingell stated in a public warning  in  August  1943,  \"We<br \/>Americans are not sacrificing, fighting, and dying to  make  permanent  and<br \/>more powerful the communistic government  of  Russia  and  to  make  Joseph<br \/>Stalin a dictator over the liberated countries of Europe.\" Such  sentiments<br \/>were widespread. Indeed,  it  was  concern  over  such  opinions  that  led<br \/>Roosevelt to urge the  Russians  to  be  sensitive  to  American  political<br \/>concerns. In Eastern Europe for the  most  part,  as  in  Poland,  the  key<br \/>question was whether  the  United  States  could  somehow  find  a  way  to<br \/>acknowledge spheres of influence, but  within  a  context  of  universalist<br \/>principles, so that the American people would not feel  that  the  Atlantic<br \/>Charter had been betrayed.<br \/>    The future of Germany represented a third critical point  of  conflict.<br \/>For emotional as well as political reasons, it was imperative that steps  be<br \/>taken to prevent Germany from ever again waging war.  In  FDR's  words,  \"We<br \/>have got to be tough with Germany, and I mean the  German  people  not  just<br \/>the Nazis. We either have to castrate the German people or you have  got  to<br \/>treat them in such a manner so they can't just go on reproducing people  who<br \/>want to continue the way they  have  in  the  past.\"  Consistent  with  that<br \/>position, Roosevelt had agreed  with  Stalin  at  Tehran  on  the  need  for<br \/>destroying a strong Germany by dividing the country  into  several  sectors,<br \/>\"as small and weak as possible.\"<br \/>    Still operating on that premise, Roosevelt endorsed  Secretary  of  the<br \/>Treasury Henry Morgenthau's plan to eliminate all industry from Germany  and<br \/>convert the country into a pastoral  landscape  of  small  farms.  Not  only<br \/>would such a plan  destroy  any  future  war-making  power,  it  would  also<br \/>reassure the Soviet Union of its own security. \"Russia  feared  we  and  the<br \/>British were going to try to make a soft peace with Germany  and  build  her<br \/>up as a possible future counter-weight  against  Russia,\"  Morgenthau  said.<br \/>His  plan  would  avoid  that,  and  simultaneously  implement   Roosevelt's<br \/>insistence that \"every person in  Germany  should  realize  that  this  time<br \/>Germany is a defeated nation.\"  Hence,  in  September  1944,  Churchill  and<br \/>Roosevelt approved the broad  outlines  of  the  Morgenthau  plan  as  their<br \/>policy for Germany.<br \/>    Within  weeks,  however,  the  harsh  policy  of  pastoralization  came<br \/>unglued. From a Soviet perspective, there was  the  problem  of  how  Russia<br \/>could exact the reparations she needed from a  country  with  no  industrial<br \/>base. American policymakers,  in  turn,  objected  that  a  Germany  without<br \/>industrial capacity would prove  unable  to  support  herself,  placing  the<br \/>entire burden for maintaining the populace  on  the  Allies.  Rumors  spread<br \/>that the Morgenthau plan was stiffening German  resistance  on  the  western<br \/>front. American business interests, moreover, suggested  the  importance  of<br \/>retaining German industry as a key to postwar commerce and trade.<br \/>    As a result, Allied policy toward Germany became a  shambles.  \"No  one<br \/>wants to  make  Germany  a  wholly  agricultural  nation  again,\"  Roosevelt<br \/>insisted.  \"No  one  wants  'complete  eradication  of   German   industrial<br \/>production capacity in the Ruhr and the  Saar.'  \"  Confused  about  how  to<br \/>proceed, Roosevelt\u00f3in effect\u00f3adopted a  policy  of  no  policy.  \"I  dislike<br \/>making detailed plans for a country which we do not yet  occupy,\"  he  said.<br \/>When Churchill, Stalin, and Roosevelt met for the last time in  Yalta,  this<br \/>failure to  plan  prevented  a  decisive  course  of  action.  The  Russians<br \/>insisted on German reparations of $20 billion, half of  which  would  go  to<br \/>the Soviet Union. Although FDR accepted  Stalin's  figure  as  a  basis  for<br \/>discussion, the British and Americans deferred any settlement of the  issue,<br \/>fearing that they would be left with the  sole  responsibility  for  feeding<br \/>and housing the German people. The only agreement that could be reached  was<br \/>to refer the issue to a new tripartite commission. Thus, at just the  moment<br \/>when consensus on a policy to deal with their common enemy was most  urgent,<br \/>the  Allies  found  themselves   empty   handed,   allowing   conflict   and<br \/>misunderstanding over another central question to join the already  existing<br \/>problems over Eastern Europe.<br \/>    Directly related to each  of  these  issues,  particularly  the  German<br \/>question, was the problem of  postwar  economic  reconstruction.  The  issue<br \/>seemed  particularly  important  to  those  Americans  concerned  about  the<br \/>postwar economy in the United States. Almost every  business  and  political<br \/>leader feared resumption of mass unemployment once the war ended.  Only  the<br \/>development  of  new  markets,  extensive  trade,  and  worldwide   economic<br \/>cooperation could prevent such an eventuality. \"The capitalistic  system  is<br \/>essentially an international system,\" one official declared. \"If  it  cannot<br \/>function internationally, it  will  break  down  completely.\"  The  Atlantic<br \/>Charter had taken such a viewpoint into account when it  declared  that  all<br \/>states should enjoy access, on equal terms, to \"the  raw  materials  of  the<br \/>world which are needed for their economic prosperity.\"<br \/>    To promote these objectives, the United States took the  initiative  at<br \/>Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, in 1944  by  creating  a  World  Bank  with  a<br \/>capitalization of $7.6 billion and the International Monetary  Fund  with  a<br \/>capitalization of $7.3 billion. The two organizations  would  provide  funds<br \/>for rebuilding Europe, as well as for stabilizing world currency. Since  the<br \/>United States was the major contributor, it would exercise decisive  control<br \/>over how the money was spent. The premise underlying both organizations  was<br \/>that a stable world required healthy economies based on free trade.<br \/>    Attitudes toward economic reconstruction had direct import for  postwar<br \/>policies toward Germany and Eastern Europe. It would be difficult to have  a<br \/>stable European economy without a significant industrial  base  in  Germany.<br \/>Pastoral countries of  small  farms  rarely  possessed  the  wherewithal  to<br \/>become customers of large capitalist  enterprises.  On  the  other  hand,  a<br \/>prosperous German economy, coupled with access to  markets  in  Eastern  and<br \/>Western Europe, offered the prospect of avoiding a recurrence of  depression<br \/>and guaranteed a significant  American  presence  in  European  politics  as<br \/>well. Beyond this, of course, it  was  thought  that  if  democracy  was  to<br \/>survive, as it had not after 1918, countries needed a thriving economy.<br \/>     Significantly, economic aid also  offered  the  opportunity  either  to<br \/>enhance or diminish America's ties to the Soviet Union.  Averell  Harriman,<br \/>the American ambassador to  Moscow  after  October  1943,  had  engaged  in<br \/>extensive business dealings with the Soviet  Union  during  the  1920S  and<br \/>believed firmly in the policy of providing American assistance  to  rebuild<br \/>the Soviet economy. Such aid, Harriman  argued,  \"would  be  in  the  self-<br \/>interest of the United States\" because it would help keep Americans at work<br \/>producing goods needed by the Russians. Just as important, it would provide<br \/>\"one of the most effective weapons to avoid the development of a sphere  of<br \/>influence of the Soviet Union over eastern Europe and the Balkans.\"<br \/>     Proceeding on these assumptions, Harriman urged the Russians  to  apply<br \/>for American aid. They did so, initially, in December 1943 with  a  request<br \/>for a $1 billion loan at an interest rate of one-half of  1  percent,  then<br \/>again in January 1945 with a request for a $6 billion loan at  an  interest<br \/>rate of 2.25 percent. Throughout this period, American  officials  appeared<br \/>to encourage the Soviet initiative. Secretary of  the  Treasury  Morgenthau<br \/>had come up with his own plan for a $10 billion loan at 2 percent interest.<br \/>When Chamber of Commerce head Eric Johnson visited Moscow, Stalin told him:<br \/>\"I like to do business with American businessmen. You fellows know what you<br \/>want. Your word is good, and, best of  all,  you  stay  in  office  a  long<br \/>time\u00f3just like we do over here.\" So enthusiastic were some State Department<br \/>officials about postwar economic arrangements that they  predicted  exports<br \/>of as much as $1 billion a year to Russia. Molotov and  Mikoyan  encouraged<br \/>such optimism, with the Soviets promising \"a voluminous and  stable  market<br \/>such as no other customer would ever [offer].\"<br \/>     As the European war drew to a close,  however,  the  American  attitude<br \/>shifted from one of eager encouragement to skeptical  detachment.  Harriman<br \/>and his aides in Moscow perceived a toughening of the  Soviet  position  on<br \/>numerous issues, including Poland and Eastern Europe. Hence, they urged the<br \/>United States to clamp down on lend-lease and  exact  specific  concessions<br \/>from the Russians in return for  any  ongoing  aid.  Only  if  the  Soviets<br \/>\"played the international game with us in accordance with  our  standards,\"<br \/>Harriman declared, should the United  States  offer  assistance.  By  April<br \/>1945, Harriman had moved to an  even  more  hard-line  position.  \"We  must<br \/>clearly recognize,\" he said, \"that the Soviet program is the  establishment<br \/>of totalitarianism, ending personal liberty and democracy.\" A week later he<br \/>urged the State Department to view  the  Soviet  loan  request  with  great<br \/>suspicion. \"Our basic interest,\" he cabled,  \"might  better  be  served  by<br \/>increasing our trade with other parts  of  the  world  rather  than  giving<br \/>preference to the Soviet Union as a source of supply.\"<br \/>     Congress and the American  people,  meanwhile,  seemed  to  be  turning<br \/>against postwar economic aid. A public opinion poll in December 1944 showed<br \/>that 70 percent of the American people believed  the  Allies  should  repay<br \/>their lend-lease debt in full. Taking up  the  cry  for  fiscal  restraint,<br \/>Senator Arthur Vandenberg told a friend: \"We have a rich country, but it is<br \/>not rich enough to permit us to support the world.\" Fearful  about  postwar<br \/>recession and the  possibility  that  American  funds  would  be  used  for<br \/>purposes  it  did  not  approve,  Congress  placed  severe  constraints  on<br \/>continuation of any lend-lease support once the war was over and  indicated<br \/>that any request for a postwar loan would encounter profound skepticism.<br \/>    Roosevelt's response, in the face of such attitudes, was once again  to<br \/>procrastinate.  Throughout  the  entire  war  he  had  ardently  espoused  a<br \/>generous and flexible lend-lease policy toward the  Soviet  Union.  For  the<br \/>most part, FDR appeared to endorse Secretary Morgenthau's attitude that  \"to<br \/>get the Russians to do something [we] should ... do it nice.  .  .  .  Don't<br \/>drive such a hard bargain that when you  come  through  it  does  not  taste<br \/>good.\" Consistent with that attitude, he had rejected Harriman's  advice  to<br \/>demand quid pro quos for American lend-lease.  Economic  aid,  he  declared,<br \/>did not \"constitute a  bargaining  weapon  of  any  strength,\"  particularly<br \/>since curtailing lend-lease would harm the  United  States  as  much  as  it<br \/>would injure the Russians. Nevertheless,  Roosevelt  accepted  a  policy  of<br \/>postponement on any discussion of postwar economic  arrangements.  \"I  think<br \/>it's very important,\" the president declared, \"that we hold back  and  don't<br \/>give [Stalin] any promise until we get what we want.\"  Clearly,  the  amount<br \/>of American aid to the Soviet Union\u00f3and the attitude which accompanied  that<br \/>aid\u00f3 could be decisive to the future of American-Soviet  relations.  Yet  in<br \/>this\u00f3as in so many other issues\u00f3Roosevelt gave little hint of  the  ultimate<br \/>direction he would take, creating one more dimension of  uncertainty  amidst<br \/>the gathering confusion that surrounded postwar international arrangements.<br \/>    The final issue around which the Cold War  revolved  was  that  of  the<br \/>atomic bomb. Development of nuclear weapons not only placed in  human  hands<br \/>the power to destroy all civilization, but presented as  well  the  critical<br \/>question of how such weapons would be used,  who  would  control  them,  and<br \/>what possibilities existed for harnessing the  incalculable  energy  of  the<br \/>atom for the purpose of international  peace  and  cooperation  rather  than<br \/>destruction. No  issue,  ultimately,  would  be  more  important  for  human<br \/>survival. On the other hand, the very nature of having to build  the  A-bomb<br \/>in a world threatened by Hitler's madness mandated a secrecy that  seriously<br \/>impeded,  from  the   beginning,   the   prospects   for   cooperation   and<br \/>international control.<br \/>    The divisive potential of the bomb became evident  as  soon  as  Albert<br \/>Einstein disclosed to Roosevelt the frightening information that  physicists<br \/>had the capacity to split the atom.  Knowing  that  German  scientists  were<br \/>also pursuing the same quest, Roosevelt immediately ordered a crash  program<br \/>of research  and  development  on  the  bomb,  soon  dubbed  the  \"Manhattan<br \/>Project.\" British scientists embarked on  a  similar  effort,  collaborating<br \/>with their American  colleagues.  The  bomb,  one  British  official  noted,<br \/>\"would be a terrific factor in the postwar world . . .  giving  an  absolute<br \/>control  to  whatever  country  possessed  the  secret.\"  Although  American<br \/>advisors  urged  \"restricted  interchange\"  of  atomic  energy  information,<br \/>Churchill demanded  and  got  full  cooperation.  If  the  British  and  the<br \/>Americans worked together, however, what of the Soviet Union once it  became<br \/>an ally?<br \/>    In a decision fraught with significance for the future,  Roosevelt  and<br \/>Churchill  agreed  in  Quebec  in  August  1943  to  a  \"full  exchange   of<br \/>information\" about the bomb with  \"[neither]  of  us  [to]  communicate  any<br \/>information about [the bomb] to third parties  except  by  mutual  consent.\"<br \/>The decision ensured  Britain's  future  interests  as  a  world  power  and<br \/>guaranteed maximum secrecy; but it did so in  a  manner  that  would  almost<br \/>inevitably provoke Russian suspicion about the intentions of her  two  major<br \/>allies.<br \/>    The implications of the decision were challenged just one  month  later<br \/>when Neils Bohr, a nuclear physicist  who  had  escaped  from  Nazi-occupied<br \/>Denmark, approached Roosevelt (indirectly through  Felix  Frankfurter)  with<br \/>the proposal that the British and Americans include Russia in  their  plans.<br \/>Adopting a typically Rooseveltian  stance,  the  president  both  encouraged<br \/>Bohr to believe that he was \"most  eager  to  explore\"  the  possibility  of<br \/>cooperation and  almost  simultaneously  reaffirmed  his  commitment  to  an<br \/>exclusive  British-American  monopoly  over  atomic   information.   Meeting<br \/>personally with Bohr on August 26,  1944,  Roosevelt  agreed  that  \"contact<br \/>with the Soviet Union should be  tried  along  the  lines  that  [you  have]<br \/>suggested.\" Yet in the meantime, Roosevelt and Churchill had  signed  a  new<br \/>agreement to control  available  supplies  of  uranium  and  had  authorized<br \/>surveillance of Bohr \"to insure that he is responsible  for  no  leakage  of<br \/>information, particularly to the Russians.\" Evidently,  Roosevelt  hoped  to<br \/>keep open the possibility of  cooperating  with  the  Soviets\u00f3assuming  that<br \/>Bohr would somehow communicate this to the Russians\u00f3while  retaining,  until<br \/>the moment was right, an exclusive relationship with  Britain.  Implicit  in<br \/>Roosevelt's posture was the notion that sharing atomic information might  be<br \/>a quid pro quo for future  Soviet  concessions.  On  the  surface,  such  an<br \/>argument made sense. Yet it presumed that the two sides  were  operating  on<br \/>the same  set  of  assumptions  and  perceptions\u00f3clearly  not  a  very  safe<br \/>presumption. In this, as in so many  other  matters,  Roosevelt  appears  to<br \/>have wanted to retain all options  until  the  end.  Indeed,  a  meeting  to<br \/>discuss the sharing of atomic information was scheduled for the day FDR  was<br \/>to return from Warm Springs, Georgia. The meeting never took place,  leaving<br \/>one more pivotal issue of contention unresolved as the war drew to a close.<br \/><br \/>Conclusion.<br \/><br \/>    Given the nature of the personalities and the nations involved, it  was<br \/>perhaps not surprising that, as the war drew to an end,  virtually  none  of<br \/>the critical  issues  on  the  agenda  of  postwar  relationships  had  been<br \/>resolved. Preferring to postpone decisions rather than to confront the  full<br \/>dimension of the conflicts that existed, FDR evidently hoped  that  his  own<br \/>political genius, plus the exigencies of postwar conditions, would pave  the<br \/>way for a mutual accommodation that would  somehow  satisfy  both  America's<br \/>commitment to a world of free trade and  democratic  rule,  and  the  Soviet<br \/>Union's obsession with national  security  and  safely  defined  spheres  of<br \/>influence. The Russians, in turn, also appeared  content  to  wait,  in  the<br \/>meantime working militarily to secure maximum leverage for  achieving  their<br \/>sphere-of-influence  goals.  What  neither  leader  nor   nation   realized,<br \/>perhaps, was that in their delay and scheming they were adding fuel  to  the<br \/>fire of suspicion that clearly existed between  them  and  possibly  missing<br \/>the only opportunity  that  might  occur  to  forge  the  basis  for  mutual<br \/>accommodation and coexistence.<br \/><br \/>    For nearly  half  a  century,  the  country  had  functioned  within  a<br \/>political world shaped by the  Cold  War  and  controlled  by  a  passionate<br \/>anticommunism that used the Kremlin as its primary foil. Not  only  did  the<br \/>Cold War define America's stance in  the  world,  dictating  foreign  policy<br \/>choices from Southeast Asia to Latin-America; it  defined  the  contours  of<br \/>domestic politics  as  well.  No  group  could  secure  legitimacy  for  its<br \/>political  ideas  if  they  were  critical  of  American   foreign   policy,<br \/>sympathetic in any way to \"socialism,\" or vulnerable to being  dismissed  as<br \/>\"leftist\" or as \"soft on communism.\" From national health insurance  to  day<br \/>care centers for children, domestic policies  suffered  from  the  crippling<br \/>paralysis created by a national fixation with the Soviet Union.<br \/>     Now, it seemed likely that the Cold War would no longer  exist  as  the<br \/>pivot around which all American politics revolved. However much politicians<br \/>were unaccustomed to talking about anything  without  anti-communism  as  a<br \/>reference point, it now seemed that they  would  have  to  look  afresh  at<br \/>problems long since put aside because they could not be  dealt  with  in  a<br \/>world controlled by Cold War alliances.<br \/>     In some ways, America seemed to face the greatest moment of possibility<br \/>in all of postwar history as  the  decade  of  the  1990s  began.  So  much<br \/>positive change had already occurred in the years since  World  War  II\u00f3the<br \/>material progress, the victories against discrimination, the  new  horizons<br \/>that had opened for education and creativity. But so much  remained  to  be<br \/>done as well in a country where homelessness, poverty, and  drug  addiction<br \/>reflected the abiding strength that barriers of  race,  class,  and  gender<br \/>retained in blocking people's quest for a decent life.<br \/>                                  Glossary:<br \/>    Cold War    -      is the term used to  describe  the  intense  rivalry<br \/>                       that developed after  World War II between groups of<br \/>                       Communist  and non-Communist nations\/  On  one  side<br \/>                       were the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics  (USSR)<br \/>                       and its Communist allies, often referred to  as  the<br \/>                       Eastern bloc. On the  other  side  were  the  United<br \/>                       States and its democratic allies,  usually  referred<br \/>                       to as the Western bloc. The struggle was called  the<br \/>                       Cold  War  because  it  did  not  actually  lead  to<br \/>                       fighting, or \"hot\" war, on a wide scale.<br \/>    Iron Curtain -     was the popular  phrase,  which  Churchill  made  to<br \/>                       refer to Soviet barriers against  the  West.  Behind<br \/>                       these  barriers,  the  USSR  steadily  expanded  its<br \/>                       power.<br \/>    Marshall Plan -    encouraged European nations  to  work  together  for<br \/>                       economic recovery after World War II  (1939-1945)  \/<br \/>                       In June 1947, the United States agreed to administer<br \/>                       aid to Europe in the countries would meet to  decide<br \/>                       what they needed\/ The official name of the plane was<br \/>                       the European Recovery  Program.  It  is  called  the<br \/>                       Marshall Plane because Secretary of the State George<br \/>                       C. Marshall first suggested it.<br \/>    Potsdam Conference -was the last meeting among  the  Leaders  of  Great<br \/>                       Britain, the Soviet Union  and  the  United  States,<br \/>                       during World War II.  The  conference  was  held  at<br \/>                       Potsdam, Germany, near Berlin. It opened in July 17,<br \/>                       1945, about two months after Germany's defeat in the<br \/>                       war. Present at  the  opening  were  U.S.  President<br \/>                       Harry S.  Truman,  British  Prime  Minister  Winston<br \/>                       Churchill, and the Soviet Premier Josef Stalin.<br \/>    Yalta Conference -  was one of  the  most  important  meetings  of  key<br \/>                       Allied Leaders during World War  II.  These  Leaders<br \/>                       were President Franklin D. Roosevelt of  the  United<br \/>                       States, Prime Minister Winston  Churchill  of  Great<br \/>                       Britain, and Premier  Josef  Stalin  of  the  Soviet<br \/>                       Union. Their countries  became  known  as  the  \"Big<br \/>                       Three\". The conference took place at Yalta, a famous<br \/>                       Black Sea resort in the Crimea, from Feb. 4  to  11,<br \/>                       1945.  Through  the  years  decisions   made   there<br \/>                       regarding divisions in Europe  have  stirred  bitter<br \/>                       debates.<br \/>The reference list.<br \/>1. William H. Chafe<br \/>\"The Unfinished Journey: America  since  World  War  II\"  New  York  Oxford,<br \/>Oxford University press, 1991.<br \/>2. David Caute \"The Great Fear\", 1978<br \/>3. Michael Belknap \"Cold War Political Justice\", 1977<br \/>4. Allen D. Harper \"The politics of Loyalty\", 1959<br \/>5. Robert Griffin \"The politics of Fear\", 1970<br \/>6. James Wechler \"The Age Suspicion\" 1980<br \/>7. Alistair Cooke \"A Generation on Trial\", 1950<br \/>8. An outline of American History<br \/>9. World Book<br \/>10. Henry Borovik \"Cold War\", 1997<br \/><\/pre>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cold War Ministry of education, science and culture High College of English Graduation Paper on theme: U.S. &#8211; Soviet relations. Student: Pavlunina I.V. Supervisor: Kolpakov A. V. Bishkek 2000 Contents.Introduction. 3Chapter 1: The Historical Background of Cold War. 51.1 The Historical Context. 51.2 Causes and Interpretations. 10Chapter 2: The Cold War Chronology. 172.1 The War [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87233"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=87233"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87233\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=87233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvnextjob.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=87233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}